| Region: NC East | State: NC | Coach: Jen Reeder |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/06 | at Hoggard (17-1) | NC SE | 69.6 | 4 | L | 4- | 11 | | -0.025 |
3/07 | at Topsail (1-10) | NC SE | 51.8 | | W | 9- | 0 | | 0.000 |
3/10 | GREEN HOPE (10-9) | NC East | 65.3 | | L | 8- | 16 | | -0.100 |
3/11 | BROUGHTON (7-5) | NC East | 61.3 | | L | 23- | 24 | 2ot | -0.225 |
3/17 | MIDDLE CREEK (2-10) | NC East | 57.4 | | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.100 |
3/24 | HOLLY SPRINGS (0-9) | NC East | 53.3 | | W | 13- | 2 | | 0.000 |
3/26 | EAST CHAPEL HILL (10-4) | NC E Cen | 68.1 | 6 | L | 6- | 15 | | 0.000 |
3/31 | at Apex (20-3) | NC East | 76.7 | 1 | L | 5- | 17 | | 0.000 |
4/01 | at Cary (5-10) | NC East | 57.5 | | W | 7- | 4 | | 0.150 |
4/02 | CARY (5-10) | NC East | 57.5 | | W | 11- | 3 | | 0.125 |
4/15 | at Broughton (7-5) | NC East | 61.3 | | L | 14- | 18 | | -0.200 |
4/16 | PANTHER CREEK (3-11) | NC East | 57.4 | | W | 8- | 4 | | 0.125 |
4/17 | at Enloe (8-5) | NC East | 63.6 | | L | 7- | 16 | | -0.125 |
4/20 | WAKEFIELD, NC (11-5) | NC East | 65.7 | | L | 15- | 17 | | -0.100 |
4/23 | at Holly Springs (0-9) | NC East | 53.3 | | W | 15- | 6 | | 0.025 |
4/24 | at Panther Creek (3-11) | NC East | 57.4 | | W | 8- | 3 | | 0.150 |
4/27 | LANEY (9-6) | NC SE | 62.2 | | L | 3- | 7 | | -0.200 |
| | 61.2 | | | | | | -0.30 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/06 | A | Hoggard | 4- | 11 | -7 | -9 | + | 0.53 | 2.23 | |
3/07 | A | Topsail | 9- | 0 | 9 | 11 | – | 0.53 | -2.38 | |
3/10 | H | Green Hope | 8- | 16 | -8 | -6 | | -0.53 | -1.78 | |
3/11 | H | Broughton | 23- | 24 | -1 | -1 | | -0.53 | 0.35 | |
3/17 | H | Middle Creek | 11- | 8 | 3 | 6 | – | -0.53 | -3.38 | |
3/24 | H | Holly Springs | 13- | 2 | 11 | 10 | | -0.53 | 1.44 | |
3/26 | H | East Chapel Hill | 6- | 15 | -9 | -10 | | -0.53 | 0.91 | |
3/31 | A | Apex | 5- | 17 | -12 | -16 | ++ | 0.53 | 4.23 | |
4/01 | A | Cary | 7- | 4 | 3 | 4 | | 0.53 | -1.22 | |
4/02 | H | Cary | 11- | 3 | 8 | 5 | + | -0.53 | 2.73 | |
4/15 | A | Broughton | 14- | 18 | -4 | -2 | | 0.53 | -1.60 | |
4/16 | H | Panther Creek | 8- | 4 | 4 | 5 | | -0.53 | -1.28 | |
4/17 | A | Enloe | 7- | 16 | -9 | -5 | – | 0.53 | -3.67 | |
4/20 | H | Wakefield, NC | 15- | 17 | -2 | -6 | ++ | -0.53 | 4.09 | |
4/23 | A | Holly Springs | 15- | 6 | 9 | 9 | | 0.53 | 0.49 | |
4/24 | A | Panther Creek | 8- | 3 | 5 | 4 | | 0.53 | 0.77 | |
4/27 | H | Laney | 3- | 7 | -4 | -2 | | -0.53 | -1.95 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/24 | H | Holly Springs | 13- | 2 | -1.44 |
3/31 | A | Apex | 5- | 17 | -4.23 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.33 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 59. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1948 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 58.82 | | Natl Power Rank | 1948 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 50.22 | | Natl SOS Rank | 2023 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.30 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1755 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.47 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1167 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -7.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 3.3 |
|
