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Averill Park Warriors (11-7)

Conference: ARegion: NY B Sec 2State: NYCoach: Scott Reynolds

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/01SCHUYLERVILLE (10-8)NY C Sec 266.8W11- 6 0.000  
4/07at Colonie (7-8)NY A Sec 270.48W6- 5 0.300  
4/09BURNT HILLS-BALLSTON L (8-11)NY B Sec 268.710W12- 2 0.125  
4/13at Guilderland (23-1)NY A Sec 296.81L3-16 0.000  
4/15COLUMBIA, NY (2-13)NY A Sec 266.1W15- 4 0.050  
4/17BALLSTON SPA (5-10)NY A Sec 264.0W14- 6 0.000  
4/20at Saratoga Springs, NY (9-8)NY A Sec 279.04L5- 6 -0.125  
4/24NISKAYUNA (10-9)NY B Sec 277.85L8-13 -0.250  
4/27COLONIE (7-8)NY A Sec 270.48W10- 9ot0.200  
4/29at Burnt Hills-Ballston L (8-11)NY B Sec 268.710W10- 3 0.225  
5/01at Shaker (12-4)NY A Sec 284.13L5-13 -0.050  
5/04at Columbia, NY (2-13)NY A Sec 266.1W10- 9ot0.125  
5/06BETHLEHEM (14-4)NY A Sec 284.22L4- 7 -0.175  
5/08at Ballston Spa (5-10)NY A Sec 264.0W15- 2 0.025  
5/12at Shenendehowa (2-14)NY A Sec 267.8L5- 6 -0.325  
5/13SOUTH GLENS FALLS (0-14)NY B Sec 257.0W17- 1 0.000  
5/21SCOTIA-GLENVILLE (5-8)NY B Sec 263.4W16- 5 0.000  
5/27vs. Niskayuna # (10-9)NY B Sec 277.85L9-13 -0.200  
# Neutral site 80.5     -0.08  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/01HSchuylerville11-65   10       ––-1.75       -5.33
4/07AColonie6-51   -2       +1.75       2.66
4/09HBurnt Hills-Ballston L12-210   5       ++-1.75       5.07
4/13AGuilderland3-16-13   -15       +1.75       2.34
4/15HColumbia, NY15-411   8       +-1.75       2.76
4/17HBallston Spa14-68   13       ––-1.75       -4.82
4/20ASaratoga Springs, NY5-6-1   -5       ++1.75       4.09
4/24HNiskayuna8-13-5   0       ––-1.75       -4.59
4/27HColonie10-91   2       -1.75       -0.84
4/29ABurnt Hills-Ballston L10-37   1       ++1.75       5.57
5/01AShaker5-13-8   -8       1.75       0.07
5/04AColumbia, NY10-91   5       –1.75       -3.74
5/06HBethlehem4-7-3   -3       -1.75       0.46
5/08ABallston Spa15-213   9       +1.75       3.68
5/12AShenendehowa5-6-1   3       –1.75       -3.70
5/13HSouth Glens Falls17-116   16       -1.75       -0.34
5/21HScotia-Glenville16-511   12       -1.75       -1.49
5/27NNiskayuna9-13-4   -2       0.00       -1.84
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/09HBurnt Hills-Ballston L12-20.00
4/13AGuilderland3-16-2.34
4/15HColumbia, NY15-4-1.00
5/08ABallston Spa15-2-3.00
5/13HSouth Glens Falls17-10.34
5/21HScotia-Glenville16-51.49
10-goal correction: -0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 72.   Natl CCR Rank 888
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 72.00   Natl Power Rank 888
Natl SOS Rating 79.34   Natl SOS Rank 244
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.08   Natl Quality Win Rank 1363
W-L Pct Rating 0.61   W-L Pct Rank 770
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -5.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 4-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -1.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 11-7   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 2.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 7.7



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