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Bartram Trail Bears (15-5)

Region: FL Dist 2State: FLCoach: Matt Ragland

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/12at Stanton College Prep (6-9)FL Dist 165.9W18- 1 0.000  
2/19NEASE (7-9)FL Dist 266.4W20- 3 0.000  
2/21vs. Oviedo # (15-5)FL Dist 376.07L11-19 -0.250  
2/21vs. Timber Creek # (14-5)FL Dist 673.69W17- 6 0.250  
2/24CREEKSIDE (4-9)FL Dist 265.9W19- 1 0.000  
2/28vs. Pine Crest # (12-5)FL Dist 1271.1W19-12 0.150  
2/28at Lake Highland Prep (10-8)FL Dist 670.6L11-12 -0.300  
3/04LAKE BRANTLEY (16-5)FL Dist 479.52L14-20 -0.150  
3/05at Menendez (2-10)FL Dist 260.4W19- 6 0.000  
3/10at Matanzas (2-12)FL Dist 260.6W18- 3 0.000  
3/12NORTHVIEW, GA (14-4)GA A477.8W19-18 0.300  
3/18at Fleming Island (11-6)FL Dist 168.6W23-12 0.075  
3/20at Flagler Palm Coast (12-4)FL Dist 269.4W18- 9 0.100  
3/24at Ponte Vedra (15-2)FL Dist 271.0W17-12 0.150  
3/31EPISCOPAL, FL (4-8)FL Dist 164.0W20- 0 0.000  
4/03at Lake Mary (13-5)FL Dist 477.15L14-20 -0.125  
4/06CREEKSIDE (4-9)FL Dist 265.9W21- 4 0.000  
4/08PONTE VEDRA (15-2)FL Dist 271.0W23-11 0.050  
4/14FLEMING ISLAND (11-6)FL Dist 168.6W21- 8 0.000  
4/17WINTER SPRINGS (15-5)FL Dist 377.44L13-14 -0.200  
# Neutral site 64.9     0.05  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/12AStanton College Prep18-117   17       1.79       -0.41
2/19HNease20-317   17       -1.79       -0.24
2/21NOviedo11-19-8   0       –––0.00       -7.78
2/21NTimber Creek17-611   0       +++0.00       11.03
2/24HCreekside19-118   18       -1.79       -0.19
2/28NPine Crest19-127   4       +0.00       2.90
2/28ALake Highland Prep11-12-1   2       1.79       -3.38
3/04HLake Brantley14-20-6   -4       -1.79       -2.23
3/05AMenendez19-613   20       –––1.79       -7.10
3/10AMatanzas18-315   20       ––1.79       -5.32
3/12HNorthview, GA19-181   -2       +-1.47       2.66
3/18AFleming Island23-1211   7       ++1.79       4.34
3/20AFlagler Palm Coast18-99   6       +1.79       2.97
3/24APonte Vedra17-125   4       1.79       1.02
3/31HEpiscopal, FL20-020   21       -1.79       -1.36
4/03ALake Mary14-20-6   -5       1.79       -0.77
4/06HCreekside21-417   18       -1.79       -1.19
4/08HPonte Vedra23-1112   8       ++-1.79       4.43
4/14HFleming Island21-813   10       +-1.79       2.75
4/17HWinter Springs13-14-1   -2       -1.79       0.55
         0.002.66

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/12AStanton College Prep18-10.41
2/19HNease20-30.24
2/21NTimber Creek17-6-1.00
2/24HCreekside19-10.19
3/05AMenendez19-67.10
3/10AMatanzas18-35.32
3/18AFleming Island23-12-1.00
3/31HEpiscopal, FL20-01.36
4/06HCreekside21-41.19
4/08HPonte Vedra23-11-2.00
4/14HFleming Island21-8-2.75
10-goal correction: 0.45

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 75.   Natl CCR Rank 668
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 74.70   Natl Power Rank 668
Natl SOS Rating 55.37   Natl SOS Rank 1701
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.05   Natl Quality Win Rank 997
W-L Pct Rating 0.75   W-L Pct Rank 354
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 8.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 5-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 8.0



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