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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Bel Air Bobcats (5-9)

Region: MD 3A-2A

State: MD

Coach: Suzanne Taylor

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/20	at Old Mill (5-11)	MD 4A-3A	71.8		W	15-	4		0.125
3/23	at Franklin, MD (3-10)	MD 3A-2A	71.9		W	16-	3		0.125
3/25	NORTH CARROLL (10-5)	MD 4A-3A	88.3		L	14-	15	ot	-0.150
3/27	at John Carroll School (13-5)	MD IAAM A	92.4		L	9-	20		0.000
3/31	RISING SUN (3-9)	MD 2A-1A	67.6		W	16-	3		0.000
4/07	at C. M. Wright (8-5)	MD 4A-3A	87.6		L	9-	10		-0.125
4/14	PERRY HALL (7-8)	MD 4A-3A	80.3		W	6-	5		0.200
4/23	FALLSTON (17-2)	MD 3A-2A	93.0	4	L	12-	14		-0.050
4/24	at North Harford (7-6)	MD 3A-2A	86.3		L	9-	18		-0.125
4/27	PATTERSON MILL (12-6)	MD 2A-1A	85.2		L	13-	14		-0.275
4/28	at Aberdeen (4-8)	MD 4A-3A	69.8		W	17-	5		0.025
5/01	at St. Paul's SG, MD (12-7)	MD IAAM A	90.4		L	4-	18		0.000
5/09	at Lansdowne (8-2)	MD 3A-2A	70.3		L	5-	15		-0.500
5/11	at Fallston (17-2)	MD 3A-2A	93.0	4	L	5-	17		0.000
			82.8						-0.75

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	A	Old Mill	15-	4	11	5	+++	0.90	6.25
3/23	A	Franklin, MD	16-	3	13	5	+++	0.90	7.76
3/25	H	North Carroll	14-	15	-1	-4	+	-0.90	3.10
3/27	A	John Carroll School	9-	20	-11	-13		0.93		1.72
3/31	H	Rising Sun	16-	3	13	13		-0.90	-0.01
4/07	A	C. M. Wright	9-	10	-1	-5	++	0.90	4.15
4/14	H	Perry Hall	6-	5	1	2		-0.90	-0.81
4/23	H	Fallston	12-	14	-2	-8	++	-0.90	5.89
4/24	A	North Harford	9-	18	-9	-5	––	0.90	-4.02
4/27	H	Patterson Mill	13-	14	-1	1		-0.90	-1.56
4/28	A	Aberdeen	17-	5	12	9	+	0.90	2.78
5/01	A	St. Paul's SG, MD	4-	18	-14	-11	–	0.93		-3.28
5/09	A	Lansdowne	5-	15	-10	11	–––	0.90	-21.21
5/11	A	Fallston	5-	17	-12	-10	–	0.90	-2.31
									0.00	-1.56

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/20	A	Old Mill	15-	4	-1.00
3/23	A	Franklin, MD	16-	3	-3.00
3/27	A	John Carroll School	9-	20	-1.72
3/31	H	Rising Sun	16-	3	0.01
4/28	A	Aberdeen	17-	5	-2.00
5/01	A	St. Paul's SG, MD	4-	18	3.28
5/09	A	Lansdowne	5-	15	0.00
5/11	A	Fallston	5-	17	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	367
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.60		Natl Power Rank	366
Natl SOS Rating	83.51		Natl SOS Rank	132
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.75		Natl Quality Win Rank	2279
W-L Pct Rating	0.36		W-L Pct Rank	1487
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-12.0

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