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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Bella Vista Broncos (5-7)

Region: CA SJS

State: CA

Coach: Soli Habte

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/13	CLAYTON VALLEY (6-12)	CA BSAL	67.7		W	9-	7		0.275
3/17	at Davis (15-5)	CA BSAL	74.0		L	1-	19		0.000
3/19	at Ursuline, CA (2-8)	CA Indep	60.4		W	10-	7		0.000
3/24	at Oak Ridge (17-4)	CA SJS	73.6		L	1-	12		-0.025
3/26	at Sonoma Academy (11-5)	CA MCAL	68.3		W	9-	5		0.275
3/31	at Christian Brothers, CA (0-7)	CA SJS	65.1		W	13-	6		0.200
4/02	GRANITE BAY (1-11)	CA SJS	62.8		W	19-	7		0.100
4/14	SONOMA ACADEMY (11-5)	CA MCAL	68.3		L	6-	10		-0.275
4/18	STEVENSON SCHOOL, CA (8-4)	CA Indep	69.5		L	11-	12	ot	-0.200
4/21	at St. Francis, CA (13-3)	CA SJS	74.2		L	6-	14		-0.025
4/23	OAK RIDGE (17-4)	CA SJS	73.6		L	6-	11		-0.050
4/30	CHRISTIAN BROTHERS, CA (0-7)	CA SJS	65.1			-
5/05	at Granite Bay (1-11)	CA SJS	62.8			-
5/07	ST. FRANCIS, CA (13-3)	CA SJS	74.2		L	3-	14		-0.050
			64.9						0.22

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	H	Clayton Valley	9-	7	2	-1	+	-0.53	3.00
3/17	A	Davis	1-	19	-18	-10	–––	0.53	-7.55
3/19	A	Ursuline, CA	10-	7	3	10	–––	0.53	-6.83
3/24	A	Oak Ridge	1-	12	-11	-9		0.53	-1.91
3/26	A	Sonoma Academy	9-	5	4	-1	++	0.53	4.53
3/31	A	Christian Brothers, CA	13-	6	7	2	++	0.53	4.78
4/02	H	Granite Bay	19-	7	12	6	++	-0.53	5.89
4/14	H	Sonoma Academy	6-	10	-4	1	––	-0.53	-4.53
4/18	H	Stevenson School, CA	11-	12	-1	-2		-0.53	1.01
4/21	A	St. Francis, CA	6-	14	-8	-9		0.53	1.32
4/23	H	Oak Ridge	6-	11	-5	-8	+	-0.53	3.03
5/07	H	St. Francis, CA	3-	14	-11	-8	–	-0.53	-2.74
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/17	A	Davis	1-	19	8.00
3/24	A	Oak Ridge	1-	12	1.00
4/02	H	Granite Bay	19-	7	-2.00
5/07	H	St. Francis, CA	3-	14	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.67

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	67.		Natl CCR Rank	1309
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	67.82		Natl Power Rank	1309
Natl SOS Rating	54.96		Natl SOS Rank	1728
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.22		Natl Quality Win Rank	766
W-L Pct Rating	0.42		W-L Pct Rank	1323
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.0

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