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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Carman-Ainsworth Cavaliers (4-10)

Region: MI DII

State: MI

Coach: Joseph Buffa

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/24	at Flushing Club (6-9)	MI Club	58.9		L	7-	14		-0.100
3/26	at North-Harrison (8-10)	MI DI	60.6		L	5-	16		0.000
3/31	DEWITT CLUB (1-3)	MI Club	52.5		W	10-	3		0.125
4/02	at Heritage Club, MI (1-3)	MI Club	55.0		L	8-	10		-0.200
4/14	MIDLAND CLUB (2-7)	MI Club	53.9		W	11-	6		0.175
4/21	at Grosse Pointe North (12-4)	MI DI	66.9		L	1-	16		0.000
4/25	HERITAGE CLUB, MI (1-3)	MI Club	55.0		W	9-	7		0.200
5/08	at Swartz Creek (6-12)	MI DII	58.9		L	3-	12		-0.025
5/12	ROCHESTER, MI (5-8)	MI DII	58.5		L	8-	13		-0.175
5/14	at DeWitt Club (1-3)	MI Club	52.5		W	10-	9		0.250
5/18	GRAND BLANC (16-7)	MI DI	65.0		L	4-	19		0.000
5/19	at Flushing Club (6-9)	MI Club	58.9		L	3-	11		-0.100
5/20	at Powers Catholic (15-8)	MI DII	69.6	7	L	1-	15		0.000
5/28	at Midland Club (2-7)	MI Club	53.9		L	12-	13		-0.225
			60.4						-0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	A	Flushing Club	7-	14	-7	-6		2.20		-0.85
3/26	A	North-Harrison	5-	16	-11	-10		1.40	-1.22
3/31	H	DeWitt Club	10-	3	7	5	+	-2.20		2.36
4/02	A	Heritage Club, MI	8-	10	-2	-2		2.20		0.23
4/14	H	Midland Club	11-	6	5	3		-2.20		1.71
4/21	A	Grosse Pointe North	1-	16	-15	-16		1.40	1.29
4/25	H	Heritage Club, MI	9-	7	2	2		-2.20		-0.18
5/08	A	Swartz Creek	3-	12	-9	-9		1.40	0.21
5/12	H	Rochester, MI	8-	13	-5	-3		-1.40	-1.50
5/14	A	DeWitt Club	10-	9	1	0		2.20		0.77
5/18	H	Grand Blanc	4-	19	-15	-10	––	-1.40	-4.51
5/19	A	Flushing Club	3-	11	-8	-6		2.20		-1.85
5/20	A	Powers Catholic	1-	15	-14	-20	++	1.40	5.73
5/28	A	Midland Club	12-	13	-1	-1		2.20		0.11
									0.00	2.31

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/26	A	North-Harrison	5-	16	1.00
4/21	A	Grosse Pointe North	1-	16	-1.29
5/18	H	Grand Blanc	4-	19	5.00
5/20	A	Powers Catholic	1-	15	-5.73
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	55.		Natl CCR Rank	2149
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	54.96		Natl Power Rank	2149
Natl SOS Rating	48.58		Natl SOS Rank	2099
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	1319
W-L Pct Rating	0.29		W-L Pct Rank	1656
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.7

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