| Region: NC SE | State: NC | Coach: Susan Tillier |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/11 | H | Laney | 11- | 12 | -1 | 2 | | -0.53 | -2.91 | |
3/13 | A | Ashley | 7- | 8 | -1 | 0 | | 0.53 | -0.50 | |
3/16 | H | New Hanover | 12- | 2 | 10 | 11 | | -0.53 | -1.41 | |
3/19 | H | Wayne Club | 19- | 4 | 15 | 17 | | -0.53 | -1.86 | |
3/21 | H | Riverside, NC | 12- | 3 | 9 | 15 | | -0.53 | -5.82 | |
3/30 | H | New Bern Club | 20- | 1 | 19 | 17 | + | -0.53 | 2.09 | |
4/01 | A | Hoggard | 7- | 14 | -7 | -5 | | 0.53 | -1.73 | |
4/07 | H | Osbourn HS | 14- | 7 | 7 | 0 | +++ | -1.08 | | 6.94 |
4/09 | A | Ravenscroft | 14- | 4 | 10 | 8 | | 0.53 | 1.71 | |
4/15 | A | Topsail | 21- | 1 | 20 | 15 | ++ | 0.53 | 4.66 | |
4/18 | H | Carrboro | 22- | 12 | 10 | 5 | ++ | -0.53 | 5.17 | |
4/22 | H | Hoggard | 7- | 13 | -6 | -4 | | -0.53 | -1.78 | |
4/23 | A | New Hanover | 16- | 7 | 9 | 10 | | 0.53 | -1.36 | |
4/24 | A | Greensboro Day School | 16- | 4 | 12 | 9 | + | 0.53 | 3.36 | |
4/27 | H | Ashley | 20- | 6 | 14 | 1 | +++ | -0.53 | 13.45 | |
5/04 | A | Chapel Hill | 7- | 21 | -14 | -6 | | 0.53 | -8.26 | |
5/15 | N | Durham Academy | 10- | 18 | -8 | -3 | | 0.00 | -4.82 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 6.94 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/16 | H | New Hanover | 12- | 2 | 1.41 |
3/19 | H | Wayne Club | 19- | 4 | 1.86 |
3/30 | H | New Bern Club | 20- | 1 | -2.09 |
4/09 | A | Ravenscroft | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
4/15 | A | Topsail | 21- | 1 | -4.66 |
4/18 | H | Carrboro | 22- | 12 | 0.00 |
4/24 | A | Greensboro Day School | 16- | 4 | -2.00 |
4/27 | H | Ashley | 20- | 6 | -4.00 |
5/04 | A | Chapel Hill | 7- | 21 | 4.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.32 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 63. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1656 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 63.31 | | Natl Power Rank | 1656 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 48.79 | | Natl SOS Rank | 2089 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.43 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1950 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.65 | | W-L Pct Rank | 672 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -6.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -8.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.7 |
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