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Cape Fear Academy Hurricanes (11-6)

Region: NC SEState: NCCoach: Susan Tillier

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/11LANEY (9-6)NC SE62.2L11-122ot-0.300  
3/13at Ashley (12-4)NC SE63.9L7- 8 -0.250  
3/16NEW HANOVER (4-9)NC SE57.4W12- 2 0.000  
3/19GOLDSBORO ( -)-    
3/19WAYNE CLUB (1-7)NC SE51.5W19- 4 0.000  
3/21RIVERSIDE, NC (0-14)NC E Cen52.7W12- 3 0.000  
3/28at Durham Academy (13-3)NC E Cen66.79-    
3/28at Middle Creek (2-10)NC East57.4-    
3/30NEW BERN CLUB (2-7)NC SE52.0W20- 1 0.000  
4/01at Hoggard (17-1)NC SE69.64L7-14 -0.125  
4/07OSBOURN HS (7-8)VA NW AAA64.3W14- 7 0.250  
4/09at Ravenscroft (2-5)NC Indep57.7W14- 4 0.050  
4/15at Topsail (1-10)NC SE51.8W21- 1 0.000  
4/18CARRBORO (6-8)NC E Cen59.4W22-12 0.125  
4/22HOGGARD (17-1)NC SE69.64L7-13 -0.150  
4/23at New Hanover (4-9)NC SE57.4W16- 7 0.000  
4/24at Greensboro Day School (4-9)NC W Cen57.5W16- 4 0.025  
4/27ASHLEY (12-4)NC SE63.9W20- 6 0.225  
5/04at Chapel Hill (11-4)NC E Cen67.48L7-21 -0.100  
5/15vs. Durham Academy # (13-3)NC E Cen66.79L10-18 -0.175  
# Neutral site 59.9     -0.43  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/11HLaney11-12-1   2       -0.53       -2.91
3/13AAshley7-8-1   0       0.53       -0.50
3/16HNew Hanover12-210   11       -0.53       -1.41
3/19HWayne Club19-415   17       -0.53       -1.86
3/21HRiverside, NC12-39   15       ––-0.53       -5.82
3/30HNew Bern Club20-119   17       +-0.53       2.09
4/01AHoggard7-14-7   -5       0.53       -1.73
4/07HOsbourn HS14-77   0       +++-1.08       6.94
4/09ARavenscroft14-410   8       0.53       1.71
4/15ATopsail21-120   15       ++0.53       4.66
4/18HCarrboro22-1210   5       ++-0.53       5.17
4/22HHoggard7-13-6   -4       -0.53       -1.78
4/23ANew Hanover16-79   10       0.53       -1.36
4/24AGreensboro Day School16-412   9       +0.53       3.36
4/27HAshley20-614   1       +++-0.53       13.45
5/04AChapel Hill7-21-14   -6       –––0.53       -8.26
5/15NDurham Academy10-18-8   -3       ––0.00       -4.82
         0.006.94

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/16HNew Hanover12-21.41
3/19HWayne Club19-41.86
3/30HNew Bern Club20-1-2.09
4/09ARavenscroft14-40.00
4/15ATopsail21-1-4.66
4/18HCarrboro22-120.00
4/24AGreensboro Day School16-4-2.00
4/27HAshley20-6-4.00
5/04AChapel Hill7-214.00
10-goal correction: -0.32

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 63.   Natl CCR Rank 1656
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 63.31   Natl Power Rank 1656
Natl SOS Rating 48.79   Natl SOS Rank 2089
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.43   Natl Quality Win Rank 1950
W-L Pct Rating 0.65   W-L Pct Rank 672
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -8.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -3.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -2.7



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