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Carlsbad Lancers (12-12)

Region: CA PalomarState: CACoach: Melissa Turner

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/10GREAT OAK (4-7)CA Indep61.8W15- 1 0.000  
3/12at San Dieguito Academy (4-14)CA Coastal64.7W9- 5 0.075  
3/18SANTA FE CHRISTIAN (13-9)CA Coastal73.7W9- 4 0.150  
3/21vs. Canyon Crest Academy # (14-7)CA Coastal73.8W10- 7 0.200  
3/21vs. Tesoro # (18-6)CA S Coast73.7L8- 9 -0.275  
3/21vs. Valley Center # (14-8)CA Avocado71.7W9- 7 0.175  
3/21vs. El Toro # (14-6)CA SeaView74.5W8- 7 0.250  
4/01at Mission Hills (6-12)CA Avocado60.1W16- 3 0.000  
4/04vs. Burlingame # (15-6)CA WBAL-S72.5W6- 5 0.200  
4/04vs. Foothill, Santa Ana # (15-7)CA SeaView75.0W9- 2 0.275  
4/04vs. Los Gatos # (9-8)CA WBAL-S66.0W15- 0 0.050  
4/04vs. Santa Fe Christian # (13-9)CA Coastal73.7L2- 7 -0.325  
4/13at Torrey Pines (17-7)CA Palomar80.73L6- 8 -0.100  
4/15POWAY (12-12)CA Palomar75.77L8-10 -0.225  
4/20RANCHO BERNARDO (16-6)CA Palomar78.54L7-12 -0.200  
4/22at La Costa Canyon (18-4)CA Palomar83.31L6-12 -0.050  
4/29at Westview, CA (7-14)CA Palomar72.0L12-13ot-0.250  
5/04at Poway (12-12)CA Palomar75.77L14-19 -0.175  
5/06at Rancho Bernardo (16-6)CA Palomar78.54L10-11 -0.150  
5/11LA COSTA CANYON (18-4)CA Palomar83.31L4-12 -0.100  
5/13TORREY PINES (17-7)CA Palomar80.73L12-15ot-0.150  
5/18WESTVIEW, CA (7-14)CA Palomar72.0W12- 8 0.200  
5/22at Cathedral Catholic (15-7)CA City75.86W11- 6 0.275  
5/26at Rancho Bernardo (16-6)CA Palomar78.54L6-12 -0.150  
# Neutral site 74.7     -0.30  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/10HGreat Oak15-114   14       -1.05       0.47
3/12ASan Dieguito Academy9-54   7       –0.95       -2.80
3/18HSanta Fe Christian9-45   4       -0.95       1.43
3/21NCanyon Crest Academy10-73   2       0.00       0.75
3/21NTesoro8-9-1   1       0.00       -1.65
3/21NValley Center9-72   3       0.00       -0.77
3/21NEl Toro8-71   0       0.00       1.15
4/01AMission Hills16-313   13       0.95       0.37
4/04NBurlingame6-51   2       0.00       -0.78
4/04NFoothill, Santa Ana9-27   -1       +++0.00       7.65
4/04NLos Gatos15-015   8       +++0.00       6.71
4/04NSanta Fe Christian2-7-5   3       –––0.00       -7.62
4/13ATorrey Pines6-8-2   -6       ++0.95       4.32
4/15HPoway8-10-2   -1       -0.95       -1.10
4/20HRancho Bernardo7-12-5   -2       –-0.95       -2.73
4/22ALa Costa Canyon6-12-6   -8       +0.95       2.20
4/29AWestview, CA12-13-1   0       0.95       -1.05
5/04APoway14-19-5   -3       –0.95       -2.19
5/06ARancho Bernardo10-11-1   -4       +0.95       3.18
5/11HLa Costa Canyon4-12-8   -6       -0.95       -1.71
5/13HTorrey Pines12-15-3   -4       -0.95       1.41
5/18HWestview, CA12-84   2       +-0.95       2.04
5/22ACathedral Catholic11-65   -1       +++0.95       6.11
5/26ARancho Bernardo6-12-6   -4       0.95       -1.82
         0.0013.55

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/10HGreat Oak15-1-0.47
4/01AMission Hills16-3-0.37
4/04NLos Gatos15-0-5.00
10-goal correction: -0.24

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 74.   Natl CCR Rank 719
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 74.32   Natl Power Rank 719
Natl SOS Rating 68.93   Natl SOS Rank 684
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.30   Natl Quality Win Rank 1766
W-L Pct Rating 0.50   W-L Pct Rank 1035
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 12-12   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-7   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.4
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-9   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 5-11   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.0



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