| Region: NC E Cen | State: NC | Coach: Prudence Lyon |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/09 | H | Chapel Hill | 2- | 14 | -12 | -9 | | -0.53 | -3.41 | |
3/11 | H | St. Mary's, NC | 7- | 12 | -5 | 2 | | -0.53 | -6.91 | |
3/19 | A | Middle Creek | 12- | 6 | 6 | 5 | | 0.53 | 0.61 | |
3/23 | H | Riverside, NC | 16- | 4 | 12 | 11 | | -0.53 | 1.08 | |
3/24 | H | East Chapel Hill | 3- | 14 | -11 | -10 | | -0.53 | -1.15 | |
3/26 | A | Wakefield, NC | 6- | 13 | -7 | -7 | | 0.53 | 0.08 | |
3/30 | H | Panther Creek | 14- | 2 | 12 | 5 | +++ | -0.53 | 6.66 | |
4/01 | H | Green Hope | 5- | 12 | -7 | -6 | | -0.53 | -0.84 | |
4/04 | A | Charlotte CDS | 9- | 10 | -1 | -9 | +++ | 0.53 | 7.85 | |
4/04 | N | Marvin Ridge | 1- | 15 | -14 | -14 | | 0.00 | 0.42 | |
4/07 | A | Riverside, NC | 17- | 4 | 13 | 10 | + | 0.53 | 3.13 | |
4/20 | A | St. Mary's, NC | 13- | 10 | 3 | 1 | + | 0.53 | 2.14 | |
4/22 | H | Carrboro | 11- | 12 | -1 | 1 | | -0.53 | -1.93 | |
4/27 | A | Chapel Hill | 1- | 14 | -13 | -10 | | 0.53 | -3.36 | |
4/28 | A | Durham Academy | 8- | 20 | -12 | -8 | | 0.53 | -4.39 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/09 | H | Chapel Hill | 2- | 14 | 2.00 |
3/23 | H | Riverside, NC | 16- | 4 | -1.08 |
3/24 | H | East Chapel Hill | 3- | 14 | 1.00 |
3/30 | H | Panther Creek | 14- | 2 | -2.00 |
4/04 | N | Marvin Ridge | 1- | 15 | -0.42 |
4/07 | A | Riverside, NC | 17- | 4 | -3.13 |
4/27 | A | Chapel Hill | 1- | 14 | 3.00 |
4/28 | A | Durham Academy | 8- | 20 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.09 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 58. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1974 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 58.54 | | Natl Power Rank | 1974 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 52.89 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1874 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.38 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1893 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.33 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1561 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 5-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -2.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -14.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -10.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -9.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -8.7 |
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