| Region: MN MSHSL | State: MN | Coach: Gary Nelson |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
4/07 | HILL-MURRAY SCHOOL (9-5) | MN MSHSL | 68.8 | | W | 13- | 9 | | 0.150 |
4/14 | at Blake School, MN (17-2) | MN MSHSL | 79.4 | 2 | L | 4- | 15 | | -0.050 |
4/16 | at Mahtomedi (13-2) | MN MSHSL | 75.0 | 3 | W | 10- | 8 | | 0.325 |
4/20 | MAPLE GROVE (8-6) | MN MSHSL | 65.3 | | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.050 |
4/23 | at Blaine (3-9) | MN MSHSL | 58.0 | | W | 14- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/27 | CHAMPLIN PARK (8-5) | MN MSHSL | 65.4 | | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.025 |
4/29 | COON RAPIDS (3-8) | MN MSHSL | 59.8 | | W | 12- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/02 | at Stillwater (12-3) | MN MSHSL | 74.5 | 5 | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.150 |
5/04 | ELK RIVER (1-8) | MN Club | 57.3 | | W | 12- | 4 | | 0.000 |
5/06 | at Anoka (5-6) | MN MSHSL | 62.4 | | W | 14- | 8 | | 0.050 |
5/11 | OSSEO-PARK CENTER (7-6) | MN MSHSL | 64.3 | | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.050 |
5/13 | at Andover, MN (2-9) | MN MSHSL | 57.3 | | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.000 |
5/20 | ANOKA (5-6) | MN MSHSL | 62.4 | | W | 18- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/26 | STILLWATER (12-3) | MN MSHSL | 74.5 | 5 | W | 10- | 6 | | 0.250 |
5/28 | vs. Mahtomedi # (13-2) | MN MSHSL | 75.0 | 3 | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.300 |
6/02 | vs. Blake School, MN # (17-2) | MN MSHSL | 79.4 | 2 | L | 6- | 15 | | -0.100 |
6/04 | vs. South Washington Count # (11-7) | MN MSHSL | 69.4 | | T | 9- | 9 | | 0.000 |
| # Neutral site | | 70.6 | | | | | | 0.90 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/07 | H | Hill-Murray School | 13- | 9 | 4 | 4 | | -1.60 | 0.21 | |
4/14 | A | Blake School, MN | 4- | 15 | -11 | -8 | – | 1.60 | -2.94 | |
4/16 | A | Mahtomedi | 10- | 8 | 2 | -3 | ++ | 1.60 | 5.35 | |
4/20 | H | Maple Grove | 9- | 6 | 3 | 8 | –– | -1.60 | -4.95 | |
4/23 | A | Blaine | 14- | 3 | 11 | 10 | | 1.60 | 0.82 | |
4/27 | H | Champlin Park | 16- | 3 | 13 | 9 | ++ | -1.60 | 4.45 | |
4/29 | H | Coon Rapids | 12- | 3 | 9 | 11 | | -1.60 | -1.54 | |
5/02 | A | Stillwater | 8- | 9 | -1 | -4 | + | 1.60 | 2.53 | |
5/04 | H | Elk River | 12- | 4 | 8 | 12 | –– | -1.60 | -4.26 | |
5/06 | A | Anoka | 14- | 8 | 6 | 8 | | 1.60 | -1.51 | |
5/11 | H | Osseo-Park Center | 13- | 6 | 7 | 8 | | -1.60 | -1.24 | |
5/13 | A | Andover, MN | 13- | 6 | 7 | 10 | – | 1.60 | -2.98 | |
5/20 | H | Anoka | 18- | 3 | 15 | 11 | ++ | -1.60 | 4.29 | |
5/26 | H | Stillwater | 10- | 6 | 4 | 0 | ++ | -1.60 | 4.33 | |
5/28 | N | Mahtomedi | 11- | 10 | 1 | -2 | + | 0.00 | 2.75 | |
6/02 | N | Blake School, MN | 6- | 15 | -9 | -6 | – | 0.00 | -2.53 | |
6/04 | N | South Washington Count | 9- | 9 | 0 | 3 | – | 0.00 | -2.78 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/14 | A | Blake School, MN | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
4/23 | A | Blaine | 14- | 3 | -0.82 |
4/27 | H | Champlin Park | 16- | 3 | -3.00 |
5/20 | H | Anoka | 18- | 3 | -4.29 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.42 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 73. | | Natl CCR Rank | 825 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 72.75 | | Natl Power Rank | 825 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 62.60 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1124 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.90 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 203 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.79 | | W-L Pct Rank | 258 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 13-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 3-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -2.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 3-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -2.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -1.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.7 |
|
