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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Chapel Hill Tigers (11-4)

Region: NC E Cen

State: NC

Coach: Julianne Dager

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/05	WAKEFIELD, NC (11-5)	NC East	65.7		W	13-	9		0.175
3/09	at Cardinal Gibbons, NC (5-10)	NC E Cen	58.5		W	14-	2		0.025
3/19	RIVERSIDE, NC (0-14)	NC E Cen	52.7		W	15-	0		0.000
3/23	CARRBORO (6-8)	NC E Cen	59.4		W	16-	6		0.000
3/25	at St. Mary's, NC (4-7)	NC E Cen	58.6		W	17-	5		0.000
3/31	EAST CHAPEL HILL (10-4)	NC E Cen	68.1	6	W	11-	10		0.275
4/02	at Riverside, NC (0-14)	NC E Cen	52.7		W	17-	3		0.000
4/03	at Durham Academy (13-3)	NC E Cen	66.7	9	L	7-	8	ot	-0.300
4/14	at Carrboro (6-8)	NC E Cen	59.4		W	15-	5		0.025
4/16	APEX (20-3)	NC East	76.7	1	L	11-	19		-0.100
4/17	GREEN HOPE (10-9)	NC East	65.3		W	8-	5		0.175
4/22	at East Chapel Hill (10-4)	NC E Cen	68.1	6	L	10-	14		-0.200
4/27	CARDINAL GIBBONS, NC (5-10)	NC E Cen	58.5		W	14-	1		0.000
5/04	CAPE FEAR ACADEMY (11-6)	NC SE	63.3		W	21-	7		0.100
5/07	at Apex (20-3)	NC East	76.7	1	L	10-	21		-0.075
			64.5						0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/05	H	Wakefield, NC	13-	9	4	3		-0.53	0.91
3/09	A	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	14-	2	12	9	+	0.53	3.41
3/19	H	Riverside, NC	15-	0	15	20	––	-0.53	-5.04
3/23	H	Carrboro	16-	6	10	10		-0.53	-0.05
3/25	A	St. Mary's, NC	17-	5	12	10	+	0.53	2.02
3/31	H	East Chapel Hill	11-	10	1	-1		-0.53	1.73
4/02	A	Riverside, NC	17-	3	14	19	––	0.53	-4.99
4/03	A	Durham Academy	7-	8	-1	2	–	0.53	-2.51
4/14	A	Carrboro	15-	5	10	9		0.53	1.00
4/16	H	Apex	11-	19	-8	-6		-0.53	-2.00
4/17	H	Green Hope	8-	5	3	3		-0.53	0.04
4/22	A	East Chapel Hill	10-	14	-4	-2	–	0.53	-2.22
4/27	H	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	14-	1	13	10	+	-0.53	3.36
5/04	H	Cape Fear Academy	21-	7	14	6	+++	-0.53	8.26
5/07	A	Apex	10-	21	-11	-7	–	0.53	-3.94
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/09	A	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	14-	2	-2.00
3/19	H	Riverside, NC	15-	0	5.04
3/23	H	Carrboro	16-	6	0.05
3/25	A	St. Mary's, NC	17-	5	-2.02
4/02	A	Riverside, NC	17-	3	4.99
4/14	A	Carrboro	15-	5	0.00
4/27	H	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	14-	1	-3.36
5/04	H	Cape Fear Academy	21-	7	-4.00
5/07	A	Apex	10-	21	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	68.		Natl CCR Rank	1292
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	67.42		Natl Power Rank	1292
Natl SOS Rating	54.71		Natl SOS Rank	1753
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	932
W-L Pct Rating	0.73		W-L Pct Rank	427
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.3

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