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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Churchill Bulldogs (14-1)

Region: MD 4A-3A

State: MD

Coach: C. Pena-Ariet

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/20	POOLESVILLE (10-2)	MD 2A-1A	72.3		W	16-	9		0.125
3/25	at Seneca Valley, MD (0-8)	MD 3A-2A	59.8		W	15-	4		0.000
3/27	at Wootton (6-5)	MD 4A-3A	75.2		W	14-	13		0.225
3/30	MAGRUDER (0-8)	MD 4A-3A	58.9		W	15-	4		0.000
4/01	R. MONTGOMERY (7-6)	MD 4A-3A	69.4		W	24-	15		0.025
4/17	WALTER JOHNSON (11-4)	MD 4A-3A	79.7		W	12-	11		0.200
4/20	at Whitman, MD (3-7)	MD 4A-3A	67.3		W	22-	8		0.000
4/24	at Sherwood, MD (8-5)	MD 4A-3A	73.8		W	13-	10		0.225
4/27	BETHESDA-CHEVY CHASE (7-6)	MD 4A-3A	73.3		W	22-	19	ot	0.175
4/29	SPRINGBROOK (0-8)	MD 4A-3A	56.8		W	26-	0		0.000
5/01	at Gaithersburg (7-5)	MD 4A-3A	71.2		W	11-	9		0.150
5/05	QUINCE ORCHARD (10-4)	MD 4A-3A	78.3		W	12-	8		0.200
5/09	WOOTTON (6-5)	MD 4A-3A	75.2		W	16-	11		0.175
5/11	BETHESDA-CHEVY CHASE (7-6)	MD 4A-3A	73.3		W	15-	12		0.175
5/14	WALTER JOHNSON (11-4)	MD 4A-3A	79.7		L	10-	12		-0.300
			73.4						1.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	H	Poolesville	16-	9	7	5		-0.90	1.82
3/25	A	Seneca Valley, MD	15-	4	11	15	–	0.90	-3.76
3/27	A	Wootton	14-	13	1	1		0.90	0.04
3/30	H	Magruder	15-	4	11	17	–––	-0.90	-6.47
4/01	H	R. Montgomery	24-	15	9	9		-0.90	0.25
4/17	H	Walter Johnson	12-	11	1	2		-0.90	-1.01
4/20	A	Whitman, MD	22-	8	14	10	+	0.90	3.58
4/24	A	Sherwood, MD	13-	10	3	1	+	0.90	2.23
4/27	H	Bethesda-Chevy Chase	22-	19	3	3		-0.90	-0.43
4/29	H	Springbrook	26-	0	26	20	++	-0.90	5.69
5/01	A	Gaithersburg	11-	9	2	4	–	0.90	-2.11
5/05	H	Quince Orchard	12-	8	4	2	+	-0.90	2.37
5/09	H	Wootton	16-	11	5	3	+	-0.90	2.23
5/11	H	Bethesda-Chevy Chase	15-	12	3	3		-0.90	-0.43
5/14	H	Walter Johnson	10-	12	-2	2	––	-0.90	-4.01
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/25	A	Seneca Valley, MD	15-	4	3.76
3/30	H	Magruder	15-	4	6.47
4/20	A	Whitman, MD	22-	8	-3.58
4/29	H	Springbrook	26-	0	-5.69
10-goal correction: 0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	184
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.98		Natl Power Rank	180
Natl SOS Rating	67.13		Natl SOS Rank	801
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	84
W-L Pct Rating	0.93		W-L Pct Rank	55
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-1		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0

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