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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Colorado Academy Mustangs (7-8 - 1)

Region: CO Metro

State: CO

Coach: Gary Secora

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/05	at Air Academy (19-0)	CO Southn	86.9	1	L	1-	12		0.000
3/12	at Cherry Creek (16-3)	CO Centen	86.2	2	L	6-	18		0.000
3/16	at Arapahoe (10-5)	CO Centen	79.5	9	L	7-	8		-0.175
3/19	at Heritage-Littleton (11-3)	CO Contin	81.1	6	T	8-	8		0.000
3/20	SUMMIT, CO (6-8)	CO Metro	68.5		W	13-	5		0.000
4/08	ST. MARY'S ACAD, CO (10-7)	CO Metro	77.9		W	12-	9		0.150
4/10	MOUNTAIN RANGE (2-12)	CO Metro	57.7		W	17-	2		0.000
4/14	CHEYENNE MOUNTAIN (11-5)	CO Southn	78.1		W	19-	9		0.150
4/16	THOMPSON VALLEY (8-5)	CO Metro	69.3		W	19-	3		0.000
4/20	MULLEN (8-8)	CO Centen	78.7		L	7-	12		-0.300
4/22	at Kent Denver (14-3)	CO Metro	82.8	3	L	8-	10		-0.075
4/24	at Thomas Jefferson-South (1-6)	CO Metro	56.9		W	21-	6		0.000
4/27	RAMPART (2-8)	CO Southn	62.1		W	20-	3		0.000
4/29	DENVER EAST (12-3)	CO Metro	82.1	4	L	6-	10		-0.200
5/01	at Smoky Hill (8-8)	CO Centen	78.1		L	8-	13		-0.225
5/07	at Kent Denver (14-3)	CO Metro	82.8	3	L	7-	19		-0.075
			72.1						-0.75

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/05	A	Air Academy	1-	12	-11	-14	+	1.87	2.70
3/12	A	Cherry Creek	6-	18	-12	-15	+	1.87	2.58
3/16	A	Arapahoe	7-	8	-1	-3		1.87	1.55
3/19	A	Heritage-Littleton	8-	8	0	-3	+	1.87	2.99
3/20	H	Summit, CO	13-	5	8	12	–	-1.87	-3.77
4/08	H	St. Mary's Acad, CO	12-	9	3	4		-1.87	-0.68
4/10	H	Mountain Range	17-	2	15	18	–	-1.87	-2.64
4/14	H	Cheyenne Mountain	19-	9	10	4	++	-1.87	5.76
4/16	H	Thompson Valley	19-	3	16	12	++	-1.87	4.25
4/20	H	Mullen	7-	12	-5	2	–––	-1.87	-7.31
4/22	A	Kent Denver	8-	10	-2	-7	++	1.87	5.35
4/24	A	Thomas Jefferson-South	21-	6	15	17	–	1.87	-2.06
4/27	H	Rampart	20-	3	17	15		-1.87	1.88
4/29	H	Denver East	6-	10	-4	-2	–	-1.87	-2.08
5/01	A	Smoky Hill	8-	13	-5	-1	–	1.87	-3.85
5/07	A	Kent Denver	7-	19	-12	-7	––	1.87	-4.65
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/05	A	Air Academy	1-	12	-2.70
3/12	A	Cherry Creek	6-	18	-2.58
4/10	H	Mountain Range	17-	2	2.64
4/14	H	Cheyenne Mountain	19-	9	0.00
4/16	H	Thompson Valley	19-	3	-4.25
4/24	A	Thomas Jefferson-South	21-	6	2.06
4/27	H	Rampart	20-	3	-1.88
5/07	A	Kent Denver	7-	19	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.29

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	485
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.99		Natl Power Rank	485
Natl SOS Rating	65.81		Natl SOS Rank	896
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.75		Natl Quality Win Rank	2275
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1174
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.0

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