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Desert Vista Thunder (7-8)

Region: AZ AGLA 2State: AZCoach: Tara Tibbott

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/21at Gilbert (4-8)AZ AGLA 168.47L4-15 -0.150  
2/24at Phoenix Country Day (12-4)AZ AGLA 269.45L4- 6 -0.200  
3/02DOBSON (8-7)AZ AGLA 266.09L5- 9 -0.225  
3/05PHOENIX COUNTRY DAY (12-4)AZ AGLA 269.45L10-11 -0.200  
3/07vs. Tucson Storm # (2-11)AZ AGLA 256.9W13- 3 0.100  
3/17at Notre Dame Prep, AZ (1-12)AZ AGLA 257.3W9- 8 0.175  
3/19XAVIER COLLEGE PREP (11-5)AZ AGLA 269.74W6- 5 0.325  
3/25TEMPE-CORONA DEL SOL (3-9)AZ AGLA 166.98W12-11ot0.325  
4/01at Dobson (8-7)AZ AGLA 266.09L7- 9 -0.225  
4/07NOTRE DAME PREP, AZ (1-12)AZ AGLA 257.3W12- 7 0.175  
4/14MOUNTAIN POINTE (5-9)AZ AGLA 261.2W9- 5 0.175  
4/15at Xavier College Prep (11-5)AZ AGLA 269.74L10-11 -0.175  
4/18at Tucson Storm (2-11)AZ AGLA 256.9W10- 2 0.100  
4/23at Mountain Pointe (5-9)AZ AGLA 261.2L11-12 -0.325  
4/28vs. Phoenix Country Day # (12-4)AZ AGLA 269.45L6-12 -0.200  
# Neutral site 67.3     -0.32  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/21AGilbert4-15-11   -4       –––0.24       -7.19
2/24APhoenix Country Day4-6-2   -2       0.24       0.43
3/02HDobson5-9-4   -1       –-0.24       -3.08
3/05HPhoenix Country Day10-11-1   -2       -0.24       0.95
3/07NTucson Storm13-310   6       +0.00       3.94
3/17ANotre Dame Prep, AZ9-81   3       0.24       -1.79
3/19HXavier College Prep6-51   -3       +-0.24       3.59
3/25HTempe-Corona Del Sol12-111   -3       ++-0.24       4.15
4/01ADobson7-9-2   -1       0.24       -0.60
4/07HNotre Dame Prep, AZ12-75   3       -0.24       1.73
4/14HMountain Pointe9-54   3       -0.24       0.98
4/15AXavier College Prep10-11-1   -3       +0.24       2.07
4/18ATucson Storm10-28   6       +0.24       2.18
4/23AMountain Pointe11-12-1   3       –0.24       -3.54
4/28NPhoenix Country Day6-12-6   -2       –0.00       -3.81
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/21AGilbert4-151.00
3/07NTucson Storm13-30.00
10-goal correction: 0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 64.   Natl CCR Rank 1586
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 64.25   Natl Power Rank 1586
Natl SOS Rating 57.44   Natl SOS Rank 1538
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.32   Natl Quality Win Rank 1771
W-L Pct Rating 0.47   W-L Pct Rank 1181
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 7-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) 0.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -1.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-7   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 0.3



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