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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

East Chapel Hill Wildcats (10-4)

Region: NC E Cen

State: NC

Coach: Gina Allen

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/09	at St. Mary's, NC (4-7)	NC E Cen	58.6		W	21-	4		0.000
3/11	at Green Hope (10-9)	NC East	65.3		W	13-	5		0.175
3/18	APEX (20-3)	NC East	76.7	1	L	10-	18		-0.125
3/19	WAKEFIELD, NC (11-5)	NC East	65.7		W	14-	12		0.150
3/24	at Cardinal Gibbons, NC (5-10)	NC E Cen	58.5		W	14-	3		0.000
3/26	at Athens Drive (8-9)	NC East	58.8		W	15-	6		0.000
3/30	at Durham Academy (13-3)	NC E Cen	66.7	9	W	7-	5		0.175
3/31	at Chapel Hill (11-4)	NC E Cen	67.4	8	L	10-	11		-0.275
4/01	at Carrboro (6-8)	NC E Cen	59.4		W	20-	6		0.000
4/16	at Myers Park (14-5)	NC SW	68.6	5	L	7-	13		-0.250
4/22	CHAPEL HILL (11-4)	NC E Cen	67.4	8	W	14-	10		0.200
4/28	RIVERSIDE, NC (0-14)	NC E Cen	52.7		W	20-	3		0.000
5/05	WAKEFIELD, NC (11-5)	NC East	65.7		W	16-	9		0.150
5/09	at Charlotte Catholic (17-3)	NC SW	74.8	2	L	11-	18		-0.125
			66.2						0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/09	A	St. Mary's, NC	21-	4	17	11	++	0.53	5.76
3/11	A	Green Hope	13-	5	8	3	++	0.53	4.84
3/18	H	Apex	10-	18	-8	-5	–	-0.53	-3.25
3/19	H	Wakefield, NC	14-	12	2	4	–	-0.53	-2.34
3/24	A	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	14-	3	11	10		0.53	1.15
3/26	A	Athens Drive	15-	6	9	10		0.53	-0.91
3/30	A	Durham Academy	7-	5	2	3		0.53	-0.77
3/31	A	Chapel Hill	10-	11	-1	1		0.53	-1.73
4/01	A	Carrboro	20-	6	14	10	+	0.53	3.75
4/16	A	Myers Park	7-	13	-6	0	––	0.53	-5.57
4/22	H	Chapel Hill	14-	10	4	2	+	-0.53	2.22
4/28	H	Riverside, NC	20-	3	17	21	––	-0.53	-4.29
5/05	H	Wakefield, NC	16-	9	7	4	+	-0.53	2.66
5/09	A	Charlotte Catholic	11-	18	-7	-5		0.53	-1.51
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/09	A	St. Mary's, NC	21-	4	-5.76
3/24	A	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	14-	3	-1.15
4/01	A	Carrboro	20-	6	-3.75
4/28	H	Riverside, NC	20-	3	4.29
10-goal correction: -0.45

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	68.		Natl CCR Rank	1222
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.06		Natl Power Rank	1222
Natl SOS Rating	57.01		Natl SOS Rank	1574
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	975
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	482
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.7

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