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Fairport Red Raiders (16-5)

Conference: MCRegion: NY A Sec 5State: NYCoach: Geoff McMurtry

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/30at Victor (7-9)NY B Sec 575.8W12- 3 0.150  
4/03PENFIELD (16-3)NY A Sec 587.14L6-13 -0.275  
4/09vs. Pittsford # (12-6)NY A Sec 578.610W11-10 0.175  
4/13OLYMPIA-ARCADIA (8-9)NY A Sec 562.0W19- 5 0.000  
4/15GATES-CHILI (4-14)NY A Sec 559.4W18- 3 0.000  
4/17BROCKPORT (7-10)NY B Sec 570.2W15- 5 0.050  
4/25LANCASTER, NY (18-3)NY A Sec 680.2W17-162ot0.100  
4/27at Rush-Henrietta (13-5)NY A Sec 583.58W12-112ot0.275  
4/29ATHENA-ODYSSEY (1-15)NY A Sec 548.5W21- 5 0.000  
5/05PITTSFORD (12-6)NY A Sec 578.610L8- 9 -0.350  
5/07at Olympia-Arcadia (8-9)NY A Sec 562.0W21- 8 0.000  
5/09at Athena-Odyssey (1-15)NY A Sec 548.5W21- 1 0.000  
5/11at Honeoye Falls-Lima (19-3)NY C Sec 593.73L7- 9 -0.125  
5/13at Gates-Chili (4-14)NY A Sec 559.4W23-13 0.000  
5/15RUSH-HENRIETTA (13-5)NY A Sec 583.58W11- 9 0.225  
5/19BRIGHTON, NY (16-3)NY B Sec 594.72L11-12 -0.150  
5/27SPENCERPORT (6-11)NY A Sec 564.7W22- 7 0.000  
5/30vs. Rush-Henrietta # (13-5)NY A Sec 583.58W11-102ot0.250  
6/03vs. Penfield # (16-3)NY A Sec 587.14W14-13ot0.250  
6/06vs. Lancaster, NY # (18-3)NY A Sec 680.2W14-11 0.125  
6/12vs. Guilderland # (23-1)NY A Sec 296.8L9-13 0.000  
# Neutral site 83.8     0.70  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/30AVictor12-39   4       ++1.32       5.22
4/03HPenfield6-13-7   1       –––-1.32       -8.29
4/09NPittsford11-101   3       0.00       -2.00
4/13HOlympia-Arcadia19-514   15       -1.32       -1.21
4/15HGates-Chili18-315   15       -1.32       0.33
4/17HBrockport15-510   8       +-1.32       2.07
4/25HLancaster, NY17-161   6       ––-1.74       -5.32
4/27ARush-Henrietta12-111   -1       +1.32       2.14
4/29HAthena-Odyssey21-516   21       ––-1.32       -5.00
5/05HPittsford8-9-1   4       ––-1.32       -5.31
5/07AOlympia-Arcadia21-813   13       1.32       0.42
5/09AAthena-Odyssey21-120   18       1.32       1.63
5/11AHoneoye Falls-Lima7-9-2   -5       +1.32       3.37
5/13AGates-Chili23-1310   12       –1.32       -2.04
5/15HRush-Henrietta11-92   1       -1.32       0.51
5/19HBrighton, NY11-12-1   -4       +-1.32       3.00
5/27HSpencerport22-715   12       +-1.32       3.31
5/30NRush-Henrietta11-101   0       0.00       0.83
6/03NPenfield14-131   0       0.00       1.02
6/06NLancaster, NY14-113   5       0.00       -1.58
6/12NGuilderland9-13-4   -12       +++0.00       8.02
         0.001.13

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/13HOlympia-Arcadia19-51.21
4/15HGates-Chili18-3-0.33
4/17HBrockport15-50.00
4/29HAthena-Odyssey21-55.00
5/07AOlympia-Arcadia21-8-0.42
5/09AAthena-Odyssey21-1-1.63
5/13AGates-Chili23-132.04
5/27HSpencerport22-7-3.31
10-goal correction: 0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 85.   Natl CCR Rank 159
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 84.78   Natl Power Rank 155
Natl SOS Rating 85.59   Natl SOS Rank 100
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.70   Natl Quality Win Rank 322
W-L Pct Rating 0.76   W-L Pct Rank 341
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 5-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -0.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 10-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 4.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 0.0



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