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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Fallbrook Warriors (2-11)

Region: CA Avocado

State: CA

Coach: Adriana Lopez

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/08	at San Marcos (3-9)	CA Avocado	53.8		L	6-	10		-0.225
4/20	MISSION HILLS (6-12)	CA Avocado	60.1		L	1-	11		-0.175
4/21	at Scripps Ranch (15-7)	CA City	76.3	5	L	0-	21		0.000
4/22	at Valley Center (14-8)	CA Avocado	71.7		L	0-	17		0.000
4/23	MT. CARMEL, CA (13-5)	CA Avocado	72.5		L	0-	12		0.000
4/27	RAMONA (1-13)	CA Avocado	50.4		L	8-	9		-0.275
4/29	SAN MARCOS (3-9)	CA Avocado	53.8		W	10-	8		0.225
5/04	VALLEY CENTER (14-8)	CA Avocado	71.7		L	2-	16		0.000
5/06	at Mission Hills (6-12)	CA Avocado	60.1		L	5-	11		-0.125
5/08	at Great Oak (4-7)	CA Indep	61.8		L	3-	9		0.000
5/11	at Mt. Carmel, CA (13-5)	CA Avocado	72.5		L	2-	11		0.000
5/13	at Ramona (1-13)	CA Avocado	50.4		W	8-	7		0.250
5/19	at Rancho Bernardo (16-6)	CA Palomar	78.5	4	L	3-	20		0.000
			66.2						-0.32

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/08	A	San Marcos	6-	10	-4	-1	–	0.95	-3.25
4/20	H	Mission Hills	1-	11	-10	-3	–––	-0.95	-6.57
4/21	A	Scripps Ranch	0-	21	-21	-20		0.95	-0.62
4/22	A	Valley Center	0-	17	-17	-16		0.95	-0.86
4/23	H	Mt. Carmel, CA	0-	12	-12	-13		-0.95	0.93
4/27	H	Ramona	8-	9	-1	1	–	-0.95	-2.46
4/29	H	San Marcos	10-	8	2	1		-0.95	0.84
5/04	H	Valley Center	2-	16	-14	-14		-0.95	0.23
5/06	A	Mission Hills	5-	11	-6	-5		0.95	-0.66
5/08	A	Great Oak	3-	9	-6	-10	++	1.05		4.44
5/11	A	Mt. Carmel, CA	2-	11	-9	-15	++	0.95	5.84
5/13	A	Ramona	8-	7	1	0		0.95	1.45
5/19	A	Rancho Bernardo	3-	20	-17	-22	++	0.95	5.14
									0.00	4.44

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/20	H	Mission Hills	1-	11	0.00
4/21	A	Scripps Ranch	0-	21	0.62
4/22	A	Valley Center	0-	17	0.86
4/23	H	Mt. Carmel, CA	0-	12	-0.93
5/04	H	Valley Center	2-	16	-0.23
5/19	A	Rancho Bernardo	3-	20	-5.14
10-goal correction: -0.37

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	52.		Natl CCR Rank	2228
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	52.44		Natl Power Rank	2228
Natl SOS Rating	56.69		Natl SOS Rank	1595
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.32		Natl Quality Win Rank	1767
W-L Pct Rating	0.15		W-L Pct Rank	1968
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-8.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-19.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-19.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.3

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