High School Computer Ratings

Fallston Cougars (17-2)

Region: MD 3A-2A

State: MD

Coach: Michael McTeague

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/23	at Hereford (12-3)	MD 3A-2A	89.0		W	10-	5	0.175
3/27	at Mercy, MD (2-15)	MD IAAM A	83.5		W	19-	10	0.025
3/30	at Inst. of Notre Dame (8-9)	MD IAAM B	74.4		W	20-	8	0.000
3/31	at North Harford (7-6)	MD 3A-2A	86.3		W	10-	7	0.150
4/02	ABERDEEN (4-8)	MD 4A-3A	69.8		W	18-	2	0.000
4/13	vs. Arundel # (7-6)	MD 4A-3A	84.5		W	18-	6	0.025
4/16	PATTERSON MILL (12-6)	MD 2A-1A	85.2		W	16-	6	0.025
4/18	vs. South River # (15-3)	MD 4A-3A	91.6	7	L	11-	12	-0.250
4/21	C. M. WRIGHT (8-5)	MD 4A-3A	87.6		W	8-	7	0.125
4/23	at Bel Air (5-9)	MD 3A-2A	80.6		W	14-	12	0.050
4/28	at Rising Sun (3-9)	MD 2A-1A	67.6		W	19-	2	0.000
4/30	ST. MARK'S, DE (14-4)	DE Cath	81.2		W	16-	10	0.000
5/02	at Roland Park Country (7-11)	MD IAAM A	88.9		L	13-	15	-0.325
5/05	vs. Perryville # (11-2)	MD 2A-1A	75.0		W	18-	4	0.000
5/09	NORTH HARFORD (7-6)	MD 3A-2A	86.3		W	15-	7	0.100
5/11	BEL AIR (5-9)	MD 3A-2A	80.6		W	17-	5	0.000
5/13	vs. Hereford # (12-3)	MD 3A-2A	89.0		W	11-	8	0.150
5/15	vs. Winters Mill # (13-5)	MD 3A-2A	89.4	10	W	13-	11	0.150
5/19	vs. Mt. Hebron # (16-4)	MD 3A-2A	91.4	8	W	16-	1	1.275
# Neutral site			83.3					1.68

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	A	Hereford	10-	5	5	3		0.90	1.52
3/27	A	Mercy, MD	19-	10	9	9		0.93		0.44
3/30	A	Inst. of Notre Dame	20-	8	12	17	––	1.10		-5.49
3/31	A	North Harford	10-	7	3	4		0.90	-0.81
4/02	H	Aberdeen	18-	2	16	20	–	-0.90	-3.82
4/13	N	Arundel	18-	6	12	9	+	0.00	2.54
4/16	H	Patterson Mill	16-	6	10	9		-0.90	0.65
4/18	N	South River	11-	12	-1	0		0.00	-1.48
4/21	H	C. M. Wright	8-	7	1	5	––	-0.90	-4.45
4/23	A	Bel Air	14-	12	2	8	––	0.90	-5.89
4/28	A	Rising Sun	19-	2	17	20	–	0.90	-2.99
4/30	H	St. Mark's, DE	16-	10	6	13	–––	-1.11		-6.92
5/02	A	Roland Park Country	13-	15	-2	3	––	0.93		-5.17
5/05	N	Perryville	18-	4	14	17	–	0.00	-2.62
5/09	H	North Harford	15-	7	8	6	+	-0.90	2.38
5/11	H	Bel Air	17-	5	12	10	+	-0.90	2.31
5/13	N	Hereford	11-	8	3	4		0.00	-1.38
5/15	N	Winters Mill	13-	11	2	4		0.00	-1.72
5/19	N	Mt. Hebron	16-	1	15	-1	+++	0.00	15.76
									0.00	-17.14