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Fayetteville-Manlius Hornets (10-9)

Conference: A2Region: NY A Sec 3State: NYCoach: Tom Blackford

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/01at Baldwinsville (19-2)NY A Sec 396.12L8-13 -0.100  
4/04at Rome Free Academy (5-11)NY A Sec 369.9W19- 4 0.000  
4/07at West Genesee (21-2)NY A Sec 397.71L7-12 -0.100  
4/23AUBURN (10-7)NY A Sec 379.8W19- 8 0.125  
4/25at Canandaigua Academy (20-3)NY B Sec 595.2L9-15 0.000  
4/28at Liverpool (9-10)NY A Sec 381.4W16-14ot0.200  
4/29CICERO-NORTH SYRACUSE (10-8)NY A Sec 384.39W13- 8 0.200  
4/30at Central Square (3-13)NY A Sec 369.1W21- 7 0.000  
5/01at Oswego (10-8)NY A Sec 377.6W14-13 0.150  
5/02CAZENOVIA (15-6)NY C Sec 385.97W17-14 0.175  
5/04at Skaneateles (12-10)NY C Sec 380.7L8- 9 -0.300  
5/05LIVERPOOL (9-10)NY A Sec 381.4L7-10 -0.325  
5/09BALDWINSVILLE (19-2)NY A Sec 396.12L7-13 -0.150  
5/12at Cicero-North Syracuse (10-8)NY A Sec 384.39W14-13 0.250  
5/14WEST GENESEE (21-2)NY A Sec 397.71L4-12 -0.150  
5/15BRIGHTON, NY (16-3)NY B Sec 594.9L6-11 -0.075  
5/19at Corcoran-Fowler (8-10)NY A Sec 374.4W21-13 0.000  
5/28CICERO-NORTH SYRACUSE (10-8)NY A Sec 384.39W16-11 0.200  
5/30vs. West Genesee # (21-2)NY A Sec 397.71L9-11 -0.125  
# Neutral site 91.0     -0.03  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/01ABaldwinsville8-13-5   -6       0.74       0.65
4/04ARome Free Academy19-415   13       0.74       1.51
4/07AWest Genesee7-12-5   -6       0.74       0.51
4/23HAuburn19-811   5       ++-0.74       5.51
4/25ACanandaigua Academy9-15-6   -10       +1.03       3.71
4/28ALiverpool16-142   2       0.74       0.26
4/29HCicero-North Syracuse13-85   2       +-0.74       3.44
4/30ACentral Square21-714   14       0.74       0.21
5/01AOswego14-131   4       –0.74       -3.15
5/02HCazenovia17-143   3       -0.74       0.24
5/04ASkaneateles8-9-1   2       –0.74       -2.73
5/05HLiverpool7-10-3   3       –––-0.74       -6.22
5/09HBaldwinsville7-13-6   -4       -0.74       -1.83
5/12ACicero-North Syracuse14-131   0       0.74       0.92
5/14HWest Genesee4-12-8   -4       –-0.74       -3.97
5/15HBrighton, NY6-11-5   -7       +-1.03       2.41
5/19ACorcoran-Fowler21-138   10       0.74       -1.54
5/28HCicero-North Syracuse16-115   2       +-0.74       3.44
5/30NWest Genesee9-11-2   -5       +0.00       2.77
         0.006.12

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/04ARome Free Academy19-4-1.51
4/23HAuburn19-8-1.00
4/30ACentral Square21-7-0.21
10-goal correction: -0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 87.   Natl CCR Rank 117
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 86.51   Natl Power Rank 113
Natl SOS Rating 99.90   Natl SOS Rank 1
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.03   Natl Quality Win Rank 1280
W-L Pct Rating 0.53   W-L Pct Rank 1029
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -5.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 4-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -1.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 8-7   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.7



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