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Fitch Falcons (8-9)

Region: CT Div 2State: CTCoach: Pat Semancik

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/08OLD LYME (16-3)CT Div 277.1L9-14 -0.175  
4/14ST. BERNARD, CT (20-2)CT Div 277.5L7-11 -0.175  
4/23WOODSTOCK ACADEMY (2-11)CT Div 265.3W15- 3 0.025  
4/25at Wheeler, CT (1-15)CT Div 261.0W17- 3 0.000  
4/27at Norwich Free Acad (8-8)CT Div 174.0L7-10 -0.175  
4/30LEDYARD (6-9)CT Div 268.8W11- 5 0.100  
5/02at Northwest Catholic (10-6)CT Div 276.2L3- 7 -0.100  
5/04at West Haven (9-9)CT Div 272.2W7- 5 0.250  
5/05EAST LYME (16-1)CT Div 180.1L4- 8 -0.075  
5/07at Waterford, CT (12-6)CT Div 274.5L10-11ot-0.200  
5/12NORTH BRANFORD (5-11)CT Div 269.7W11- 8 0.175  
5/14STONINGTON (6-9)CT Div 270.2L10-12 -0.350  
5/19at Woodstock Academy (2-11)CT Div 265.3W10- 6 0.075  
5/21NORWICH FREE ACAD (8-8)CT Div 174.0W6- 4 0.275  
5/23at Ledyard (6-9)CT Div 268.8W11- 7 0.150  
5/26at East Lyme (16-1)CT Div 180.1L6-16 0.000  
6/06at Haddam-Killingworth (14-4)CT Div 275.3L4-10 -0.175  
 65.5     -0.37  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/08HOld Lyme9-14-5   -3       –-1.25       -2.30
4/14HSt. Bernard, CT7-11-4   -3       -1.25       -1.39
4/23HWoodstock Academy15-312   9       +-1.25       2.91
4/25AWheeler, CT17-314   11       +1.25       2.74
4/27ANorwich Free Acad7-10-3   -3       1.25       0.09
4/30HLedyard11-56   6       -1.25       -0.33
5/02ANorthwest Catholic3-7-4   -6       1.25       1.71
5/04AWest Haven7-52   0       +1.25       2.19
5/05HEast Lyme4-8-4   -7       +-1.25       3.05
5/07AWaterford, CT10-11-1   -2       1.25       1.18
5/12HNorth Branford11-83   3       -1.25       -0.07
5/14HStonington10-12-2   4       –––-1.25       -6.16
5/19AWoodstock Academy10-64   7       –1.25       -2.59
5/21HNorwich Free Acad6-42   -1       +-1.25       2.60
5/23ALedyard11-74   4       1.25       0.17
5/26AEast Lyme6-16-10   -10       1.25       -0.45
6/06AHaddam-Killingworth4-10-6   -3       –1.25       -3.35
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/23HWoodstock Academy15-3-2.00
4/25AWheeler, CT17-3-2.74
5/26AEast Lyme6-160.00
10-goal correction: -0.28

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 72.   Natl CCR Rank 861
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 72.31   Natl Power Rank 861
Natl SOS Rating 55.34   Natl SOS Rank 1704
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.37   Natl Quality Win Rank 1864
W-L Pct Rating 0.47   W-L Pct Rank 1153
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 8-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) 0.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -7.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -4.0



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