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Frontier Falcons (10-8)

Conference: ECICRegion: NY A Sec 6State: NYCoach: Tim Myslinski

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/02at Lancaster, NY (18-3)NY A Sec 680.21L2-12 -0.050  
4/03THOMAS WORTHINGTON (17-5)OH D1 C80.5L4- 9 -0.150  
4/21ORCHARD PARK (4-9)NY A Sec 672.2L5- 6 -0.350  
4/23at Clarence (11-8)NY A Sec 675.26L4-11 -0.175  
4/25at Williamsville South (0-7)NY B Sec 661.4W20- 4 0.025  
4/27WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH (5-5)NY A Sec 674.29W7- 5 0.175  
4/29LANCASTER, NY (18-3)NY A Sec 680.21L6-11 -0.150  
5/01EAST AURORA (14-4)NY C Sec 675.45L4- 6 -0.325  
5/02at Iroquois (6-10)NY B Sec 668.8W8- 4 0.200  
5/04at Nichols School (16-6)NY Club76.83L5- 9 -0.100  
5/05at West Seneca West (6-13)NY B Sec 669.8W14- 8 0.225  
5/07at Orchard Park (4-9)NY A Sec 672.2W7- 2 0.250  
5/11CLARENCE (11-8)NY A Sec 675.26L5- 7 -0.275  
5/13LAKE SHORE (3-11)NY B Sec 666.3W11- 4 0.050  
5/15at Williamsville North (5-5)NY A Sec 674.29W7- 6 0.275  
5/16HAMBURG (11-6)NY B Sec 674.57W7- 4 0.200  
5/18WEST SENECA WEST (6-13)NY B Sec 669.8W9- 5 0.100  
5/19WILLIAMSVILLE EAST (3-8)NY B Sec 665.8W18- 9 0.000  
 73.1     -0.08  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/02ALancaster, NY2-12-10   -8       2.17       -1.84
4/03HThomas Worthington4-9-5   -4       -2.13       -1.12
4/21HOrchard Park5-6-1   4       ––-2.17       -5.20
4/23AClarence4-11-7   -3       –2.17       -3.71
4/25AWilliamsville South20-416   9       +++2.17       6.91
4/27HWilliamsville North7-52   3       -2.17       -0.85
4/29HLancaster, NY6-11-5   -4       -2.17       -1.17
5/01HEast Aurora4-6-2   3       ––-2.17       -5.38
5/02AIroquois8-44   2       +2.17       2.40
5/04ANichols School5-9-4   -6       +2.17       2.45
5/05AWest Seneca West14-86   1       ++2.17       4.59
5/07AOrchard Park7-25   0       ++2.17       5.14
5/11HClarence5-7-2   1       –-2.17       -3.05
5/13HLake Shore11-47   8       -2.17       -1.10
5/15AWilliamsville North7-61   -1       +2.17       2.49
5/16HHamburg7-43   2       -2.17       0.66
5/18HWest Seneca West9-54   6       -2.17       -1.75
5/19HWilliamsville East18-99   10       -2.17       -0.60
         0.00-1.12

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/02ALancaster, NY2-120.00
4/25AWilliamsville South20-4-6.00
10-goal correction: -0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 74.   Natl CCR Rank 706
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 74.47   Natl Power Rank 706
Natl SOS Rating 66.15   Natl SOS Rank 866
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.08   Natl Quality Win Rank 1359
W-L Pct Rating 0.56   W-L Pct Rank 945
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -5.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 9-7   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 5.3



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