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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Garrison Forest Grizzlies (6-9)

Region: MD IAAM A

State: MD

Coach: Traci Davis

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/26	at Mount de Sales (8-11)	MD IAAM A	88.1		W	17-	16	3ot	0.275
3/31	MARYVALE PREP (10-6)	MD IAAM A	91.7	4	L	10-	16		-0.150
4/02	at Seton Keough (1-16)	MD IAAM A	82.4		W	17-	11		0.075
4/07	at Archbishop Spalding (9-12)	MD IAAM A	88.8	10	W	14-	7		0.275
4/09	at Notre Dame Prep, MD (17-2)	MD IAAM A	97.2	2	L	6-	17		-0.025
4/14	MCDONOGH SCHOOL (19-1)	MD IAAM A	97.8	1	L	6-	19		0.000
4/16	at Roland Park Country (7-11)	MD IAAM A	88.9	9	L	7-	12		-0.200
4/21	at Bryn Mawr SG (13-6)	MD IAAM A	91.6	5	W	12-	11		0.350
4/23	MERCY, MD (2-15)	MD IAAM A	83.5		W	16-	9		0.050
4/24	JOHN CARROLL SCHOOL (13-5)	MD IAAM A	92.4	3	L	9-	14		-0.175
4/28	at Severn School (7-12)	MD IAAM A	88.5		L	7-	18		-0.225
4/30	ST. PAUL'S SG, MD (12-7)	MD IAAM A	90.4	7	L	8-	13		-0.225
5/05	ST. MARY'S, MD (10-5)	MD IAAM A	91.3	6	L	13-	14		-0.175
5/08	ROLAND PARK COUNTRY (7-11)	MD IAAM A	88.9	9	W	11-	9	ot	0.250
5/12	at McDonogh School (19-1)	MD IAAM A	97.8	1	L	10-	12		0.000
			88.4						0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	A	Mount de Sales	17-	16	1	-1		0.97	1.60
3/31	H	Maryvale Prep	10-	16	-6	-4	–	-0.97	-2.15
4/02	A	Seton Keough	17-	11	6	7		0.97	-0.66
4/07	A	Archbishop Spalding	14-	7	7	-1	+++	0.97	7.51
4/09	A	Notre Dame Prep, MD	6-	17	-11	-9	–	0.97	-2.21
4/14	H	McDonogh School	6-	19	-13	-11	–	-0.97	-2.35
4/16	A	Roland Park Country	7-	12	-5	-2	–	0.97	-3.26
4/21	A	Bryn Mawr SG	12-	11	1	-4	++	0.97	4.93
4/23	H	Mercy, MD	16-	9	7	8		-0.97	-0.62
4/24	H	John Carroll School	9-	14	-5	-3	–	-0.97	-2.06
4/28	A	Severn School	7-	18	-11	-1	–––	0.97	-10.39
4/30	H	St. Paul's SG, MD	8-	13	-5	-1	––	-0.97	-4.33
5/05	H	St. Mary's, MD	13-	14	-1	-3		-0.97	1.60
5/08	H	Roland Park Country	11-	9	2	0		-0.97	1.81
5/12	A	McDonogh School	10-	12	-2	-13	+++	0.97	10.58
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	A	Notre Dame Prep, MD	6-	17	1.00
4/14	H	McDonogh School	6-	19	2.35
4/28	A	Severn School	7-	18	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.29

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	70
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.96		Natl Power Rank	54
Natl SOS Rating	94.17		Natl SOS Rank	14
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	919
W-L Pct Rating	0.40		W-L Pct Rank	1372
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3

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