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Guilderland Flying Dutchmen (23-1)

Conference: ARegion: NY A Sec 2State: NYCoach: Gary Chatnik

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/07at Shaker (12-4)NY A Sec 284.13W19- 8 0.100  
4/09NISKAYUNA (10-9)NY B Sec 277.85W19- 3 0.000  
4/13AVERILL PARK (11-7)NY B Sec 272.07W16- 3 0.000  
4/15SHENENDEHOWA (2-14)NY A Sec 267.8W18- 2 0.000  
4/17at Saratoga Springs, NY (9-8)NY A Sec 279.04W16- 4 0.025  
4/18vs. East Rochester # (11-7)NY C Sec 586.3W10- 6 0.000  
4/20at Columbia, NY (2-13)NY A Sec 266.1W20- 6 0.000  
4/22BETHLEHEM (14-4)NY A Sec 284.22W12- 2 0.000  
4/25NANUET (12-5)NY C Sec 186.8W15- 5 0.000  
4/27SHAKER (12-4)NY A Sec 284.13W20- 7 0.025  
4/29at Niskayuna (10-9)NY B Sec 277.85W17- 5 0.000  
5/01COLONIE (7-8)NY A Sec 270.48W19-10 0.000  
5/04at Shenendehowa (2-14)NY A Sec 267.8W23- 2 0.000  
5/06at Burnt Hills-Ballston L (8-11)NY B Sec 268.710W17- 1 0.000  
5/08SARATOGA SPRINGS, NY (9-8)NY A Sec 279.04W15- 6 0.000  
5/12vs. Brighton, NY # (16-3)NY B Sec 594.9W6- 5 0.200  
5/14at Bethlehem (14-4)NY A Sec 284.22W9- 5 0.075  
5/18SHENENDEHOWA (2-14)NY A Sec 267.8W18- 3 0.000  
5/20SARATOGA SPRINGS, NY (9-8)NY A Sec 279.04W18- 4 0.000  
5/27vs. Bethlehem # (14-4)NY A Sec 284.22W14- 4 0.050  
6/03at Kingston (17-2)NY A Sec 981.0W17-10 0.000  
6/06at Lakeland-Panas (11-6)NY A Sec 185.0W16- 6 0.000  
6/12vs. Fairport # (16-5)NY A Sec 584.8W13- 9 0.000  
6/13vs. Farmingdale # (17-0)NY A Sec 898.1L9-10 -0.225  
# Neutral site 86.0     0.25  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/07AShaker19-811   6       ++1.75       5.48
4/09HNiskayuna19-316   13       +-1.75       2.82
4/13HAverill Park16-313   15       –-1.75       -2.34
4/15HShenendehowa18-216   20       –-1.75       -3.78
4/17ASaratoga Springs, NY16-412   9       +1.75       3.50
4/18NEast Rochester10-64   11       –––0.00       -6.52
4/20AColumbia, NY20-614   18       ––1.75       -4.33
4/22HBethlehem12-210   10       -1.75       -0.13
4/25HNanuet15-510   12       -1.67       -1.66
4/27HShaker20-713   9       +-1.75       3.98
4/29ANiskayuna17-512   10       +1.75       2.32
5/01HColonie19-109   15       –––-1.75       -6.43
5/04AShenendehowa23-221   16       ++1.75       4.71
5/06ABurnt Hills-Ballston L17-116   15       1.75       0.98
5/08HSaratoga Springs, NY15-69   12       –-1.75       -3.00
5/12NBrighton, NY6-51   2       0.00       -0.85
5/14ABethlehem9-54   7       –1.75       -2.63
5/18HShenendehowa18-315   20       ––-1.75       -4.78
5/20HSaratoga Springs, NY18-414   12       +-1.75       2.00
5/27NBethlehem14-410   8       0.00       1.62
6/03AKingston17-107   14       –––1.38       -7.42
6/06ALakeland-Panas16-610   10       1.67       -0.14
6/12NFairport13-94   12       –––0.00       -8.02
6/13NFarmingdale9-10-1   -1       0.00       0.30
         0.00-24.32

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/07AShaker19-8-1.00
4/09HNiskayuna19-3-2.82
4/13HAverill Park16-32.34
4/15HShenendehowa18-23.78
4/17ASaratoga Springs, NY16-4-2.00
4/20AColumbia, NY20-64.33
4/22HBethlehem12-20.13
4/25HNanuet15-51.66
4/27HShaker20-7-3.00
4/29ANiskayuna17-5-2.32
5/04AShenendehowa23-2-4.71
5/06ABurnt Hills-Ballston L17-1-0.98
5/18HShenendehowa18-34.78
5/20HSaratoga Springs, NY18-4-2.00
5/27NBethlehem14-40.00
6/06ALakeland-Panas16-60.14
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 196.   Natl CCR Rank 6
Natl Poll Vote 99.   Natl Poll Rank 8
Natl Power Rating 96.80   Natl Power Rank 6
Natl SOS Rating 89.42   Natl SOS Rank 54
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.25   Natl Quality Win Rank 715
W-L Pct Rating 0.96   W-L Pct Rank 22
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 23-1   Ave Goal diff (all ) 10.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 10-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 11.1
Wins/Losses (top 10) 13-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 11.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 17-0   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 12.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.3



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