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Gunston Day School Fighting Herons (14-3)

Region: MD EESIACState: MDCoach: Robert Fredland

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/27DELMARVA CHRISTIAN (1-11)DE Indep57.1W20- 1 0.000  
3/30at Eleanor Roosevelt (0-3)MD CALL57.7W14- 5 0.000  
4/01CALVERTON SCHOOL (10-4)MD CALL67.34W8- 7 0.075  
4/07STS. PETER & PAUL (9-3)MD EESIAC83.31L0-12 0.000  
4/09SANDY SPRING FRIENDS (1-4)MD CALL61.010W16- 4 0.000  
4/20INDIAN CREEK SCHOOL, M (5-4)MD CALL66.45W24-10 0.000  
4/22RED LION CHRIST. ACAD, (5-8)DE Indep69.6W19- 6 0.125  
4/23at Salisbury School (1-7)MD EESIAC65.86W19- 8 0.125  
4/24at St. Thomas More Acad (3-9)DE Indep66.8W14- 3 0.150  
4/27at Bowie, MD (1-4)MD CALL60.0W20- 6 0.000  
4/28at Rockbridge Acad, MD (1-3)MD CALL65.08W23-17 0.100  
4/29CHEN (0-2)MD CALL65.07W19- 6 0.000  
5/01WORCESTER PREP, MD (9-4)MD EESIAC82.62L12-21 -0.100  
5/03BOWIE, MD (1-4)MD CALL60.0W23- 6 0.000  
5/06at Sts. Peter & Paul (9-3)MD EESIAC83.31L4-19 0.000  
5/07INDIAN CREEK SCHOOL, M (5-4)MD CALL66.45W25-14 0.000  
5/08vs. Calverton School # (10-4)MD CALL67.34W15-11 0.125  
# Neutral site 65.8     0.60  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27HDelmarva Christian20-119   18       -1.77       1.42
3/30AEleanor Roosevelt14-59   12       –2.23       -2.61
4/01HCalverton School8-71   7       ––-2.23       -5.98
4/07HSts. Peter & Paul0-12-12   -10       –-2.23       -2.28
4/09HSandy Spring Friends16-412   14       -2.23       -1.93
4/20HIndian Creek School, M24-1014   10       +-2.23       3.70
4/22HRed Lion Christ. Acad,19-613   5       +++-1.77       7.91
4/23ASalisbury School19-811   5       +++2.23       6.48
4/24ASt. Thomas More Acad14-311   4       +++1.77       6.74
4/27ABowie, MD20-614   11       +2.23       2.68
4/28ARockbridge Acad, MD23-176   6       2.23       0.34
4/29HCHEN19-613   10       +-2.23       2.63
5/01HWorcester Prep, MD12-21-9   -6       –-2.23       -3.37
5/03HBowie, MD23-617   16       -2.23       1.22
5/06ASts. Peter & Paul4-19-15   -14       2.23       -0.82
5/07HIndian Creek School, M25-1411   10       -2.23       0.70
5/08NCalverton School15-114   5       0.00       -0.75
         0.0016.06

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/27HDelmarva Christian20-1-1.42
4/07HSts. Peter & Paul0-122.00
4/09HSandy Spring Friends16-41.93
4/20HIndian Creek School, M24-10-3.70
4/22HRed Lion Christ. Acad,19-6-3.00
4/23ASalisbury School19-8-1.00
4/24ASt. Thomas More Acad14-3-1.00
4/27ABowie, MD20-6-2.68
4/29HCHEN19-6-2.63
5/03HBowie, MD23-6-1.22
5/06ASts. Peter & Paul4-190.82
5/07HIndian Creek School, M25-14-0.70
10-goal correction: -0.74

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 73.   Natl CCR Rank 801
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 72.87   Natl Power Rank 801
Natl SOS Rating 56.54   Natl SOS Rank 1615
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.60   Natl Quality Win Rank 422
W-L Pct Rating 0.82   W-L Pct Rank 194
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 14-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 7.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 4-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -0.9
Wins/Losses (top 10) 8-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 3.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 11-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 5.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 0.0



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