| Region: CT Div 1 | State: CT | Coach: Joe Caruso |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
4/08 | BRANFORD (8-10) | CT Div 1 | 76.7 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.225 |
4/13 | POMPERAUG (10-7) | CT Div 2 | 76.0 | | W | 13- | 10 | | 0.150 |
4/16 | at Lauralton Hall (4-12) | CT Div 2 | 70.3 | | W | 19- | 5 | | 0.050 |
4/21 | BROOKFIELD, CT (15-6) | CT Div 1 | 79.5 | | L | 15- | 16 | | -0.225 |
4/23 | at Bunnell (4-12) | CT Div 1 | 67.8 | | W | 21- | 7 | | 0.000 |
4/25 | AMITY (2-12) | CT Div 2 | 72.2 | | W | 17- | 16 | | 0.100 |
4/27 | at Masuk (9-9) | CT Div 1 | 74.1 | | W | 20- | 10 | | 0.150 |
4/28 | RIDGEFIELD (5-11) | CT Div 2 | 76.5 | | L | 10- | 16 | | -0.250 |
4/30 | NEW FAIRFIELD (9-8) | CT Div 1 | 76.0 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.175 |
5/06 | STRATFORD (1-15) | CT Indep | 64.6 | | W | 22- | 7 | | 0.000 |
5/09 | BETHEL (7-10) | CT Div 2 | 72.3 | | W | 16- | 11 | | 0.050 |
5/11 | NEW MILFORD (14-7) | CT Div 2 | 77.4 | | W | 18- | 16 | | 0.200 |
5/12 | at Notre Dame Catholic (1-15) | CT Div 2 | 64.6 | | W | 18- | 4 | | 0.000 |
5/13 | at Immaculate (13-8) | CT Div 2 | 78.1 | | W | 15- | 14 | | 0.275 |
5/18 | at Weston, CT (4-12) | CT Div 2 | 70.7 | | W | 19- | 10 | | 0.100 |
5/20 | NEWTOWN (18-3) | CT Div 1 | 83.5 | 6 | L | 8- | 17 | | -0.075 |
5/28 | IMMACULATE (13-8) | CT Div 2 | 78.1 | | L | 12- | 14 | | -0.275 |
6/06 | at New Canaan (18-5) | CT Div 1 | 86.8 | 3 | L | 4- | 16 | | 0.000 |
| | 69.9 | | | | | | 0.65 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/08 | H | Branford | 8- | 7 | 1 | 1 | | -1.25 | 0.33 | |
4/13 | H | Pomperaug | 13- | 10 | 3 | 4 | | -1.25 | -0.80 | |
4/16 | A | Lauralton Hall | 19- | 5 | 14 | 8 | +++ | 1.25 | 6.14 | |
4/21 | H | Brookfield, CT | 15- | 16 | -1 | -1 | | -1.25 | 0.41 | |
4/23 | A | Bunnell | 21- | 7 | 14 | 12 | + | 1.25 | 2.35 | |
4/25 | H | Amity | 17- | 16 | 1 | 6 | –– | -1.25 | -5.40 | |
4/27 | A | Masuk | 20- | 10 | 10 | 4 | ++ | 1.25 | 5.72 | |
4/28 | H | Ridgefield | 10- | 16 | -6 | 0 | ––– | -1.25 | -6.48 | |
4/30 | H | New Fairfield | 8- | 7 | 1 | 3 | – | -1.25 | -2.50 | |
5/06 | H | Stratford | 22- | 7 | 15 | 15 | | -1.25 | -0.16 | |
5/09 | H | Bethel | 16- | 11 | 5 | 8 | – | -1.25 | -3.33 | |
5/11 | H | New Milford | 18- | 16 | 2 | 2 | | -1.25 | -0.37 | |
5/12 | A | Notre Dame Catholic | 18- | 4 | 14 | 13 | | 1.25 | 0.98 | |
5/13 | A | Immaculate | 15- | 14 | 1 | -1 | + | 1.25 | 2.38 | |
5/18 | A | Weston, CT | 19- | 10 | 9 | 6 | + | 1.25 | 3.20 | |
5/20 | H | Newtown | 8- | 17 | -9 | -7 | – | -1.25 | -2.40 | |
5/28 | H | Immaculate | 12- | 14 | -2 | 1 | – | -1.25 | -3.12 | |
6/06 | A | New Canaan | 4- | 16 | -12 | -15 | + | 1.25 | 3.05 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/16 | A | Lauralton Hall | 19- | 5 | -4.00 |
4/23 | A | Bunnell | 21- | 7 | -2.35 |
4/27 | A | Masuk | 20- | 10 | 0.00 |
5/06 | H | Stratford | 22- | 7 | 0.16 |
5/12 | A | Notre Dame Catholic | 18- | 4 | -0.98 |
6/06 | A | New Canaan | 4- | 16 | -3.05 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.57 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 78. | | Natl CCR Rank | 486 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 77.81 | | Natl Power Rank | 486 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 61.74 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1182 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.65 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 353 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.72 | | W-L Pct Rank | 440 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 13-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -12.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -10.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -7.7 |
|
