High School Computer Ratings

John Carroll School Patriots (13-5)

Region: MD IAAM A

State: MD

Coach: K. Porchella

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/17	at Roland Park Country (7-11)	MD IAAM A	88.9	9	W	11-	8		0.200
3/24	ST. PAUL'S SG, MD (12-7)	MD IAAM A	90.4	7	W	13-	12	3ot	0.175
3/26	at Notre Dame Prep, MD (17-2)	MD IAAM A	97.2	2	L	9-	17		-0.125
3/27	BEL AIR (5-9)	MD 3A-2A	79.8		W	20-	9		0.000
3/31	at Severn School (7-12)	MD IAAM A	88.5		W	17-	11		0.175
4/02	ST. MARY'S, MD (10-5)	MD IAAM A	91.3	6	W	12-	10		0.225
4/07	at Mount de Sales (8-11)	MD IAAM A	88.1		L	7-	8		-0.325
4/14	MARYVALE PREP (10-6)	MD IAAM A	91.7	4	L	12-	14		-0.250
4/16	SETON KEOUGH (1-16)	MD IAAM A	82.4		W	15-	5		0.000
4/21	at Archbishop Spalding (9-12)	MD IAAM A	88.8	10	W	11-	9		0.175
4/23	MCDONOGH SCHOOL (19-1)	MD IAAM A	97.8	1	L	6-	13		-0.075
4/24	at Garrison Forest (6-9)	MD IAAM A	89.0	8	W	14-	9		0.175
4/27	at North Harford (7-6)	MD 3A-2A	86.0		W	15-	7		0.125
4/28	at Bryn Mawr SG (13-6)	MD IAAM A	91.6	5	W	12-	2		0.250
4/30	MERCY, MD (2-15)	MD IAAM A	83.5		W	15-	4		0.000
5/08	SETON KEOUGH (1-16)	MD IAAM A	82.4		W	17-	9		0.000
5/12	ST. PAUL'S SG, MD (12-7)	MD IAAM A	90.4	7	W	13-	6		0.175
5/14	at Notre Dame Prep, MD (17-2)	MD IAAM A	97.2	2	L	10-	14		-0.125
			87.1						0.77

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/17	A	Roland Park Country	11-	8	3	2		0.97	0.83
3/24	H	St. Paul's SG, MD	13-	12	1	3	–	-0.97	-2.24
3/26	A	Notre Dame Prep, MD	9-	17	-8	-5	–	0.97	-3.12
3/27	H	Bel Air	20-	9	11	14	–	-0.93		-2.51
3/31	A	Severn School	17-	11	6	3	+	0.97	2.70
4/02	H	St. Mary's, MD	12-	10	2	1		-0.97	0.69
4/07	A	Mount de Sales	7-	8	-1	3	––	0.97	-4.31
4/14	H	Maryvale Prep	12-	14	-2	0	–	-0.97	-2.06
4/16	H	Seton Keough	15-	5	10	13	–	-0.97	-2.51
4/21	A	Archbishop Spalding	11-	9	2	3		0.97	-1.40
4/23	H	McDonogh School	6-	13	-7	-7		-0.97	-0.26
4/24	A	Garrison Forest	14-	9	5	3	+	0.97	2.06
4/27	A	North Harford	15-	7	8	5	+	0.93		2.54
4/28	A	Bryn Mawr SG	12-	2	10	0	+++	0.97	10.02
4/30	H	Mercy, MD	15-	4	11	12		-0.97	-0.53
5/08	H	Seton Keough	17-	9	8	13	––	-0.97	-4.51
5/12	H	St. Paul's SG, MD	13-	6	7	3	+	-0.97	3.76
5/14	A	Notre Dame Prep, MD	10-	14	-4	-5		0.97	0.88
									0.00	0.03