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2009

JSerra Catholic (8-7)

Region: CA Trinity

State: CA

Coach: Paige Dougherty

Team Page Links: • 2009 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/07	vs. Sage Hill # (4-10)	CA Sunset	64.8		W	11-	4		0.175
3/07	vs. Palisades Charter # (5-4)	CA LA City	64.6		W	7-	0		0.150
3/07	vs. Trabuco Hills # (14-6)	CA SeaView	71.2	9	L	4-	8		-0.175
3/13	IRVINE (4-9)	CA Pacific	63.7		W	15-	4		0.050
3/18	at Dana Hills (6-9)	CA S Coast	65.0		W	14-	7		0.200
3/23	SANTA MARGARITA CATHOL (11-7)	CA Trinity	67.7		W	8-	7		0.225
3/25	at Mater Dei (0-14)	CA Trinity	62.8		W	5-	4		0.125
3/30	at Santa Margarita Cathol (11-7)	CA Trinity	67.7		L	8-	11		-0.225
4/02	ST. MARGARET'S, CA (12-9)	CA Trinity	71.6	8	L	6-	16		-0.125
4/22	SANTA MARGARITA CATHOL (11-7)	CA Trinity	67.7		W	11-	9		0.225
4/23	CORONA DEL MAR (12-6)	CA Pacific	70.0		L	8-	11		-0.225
4/24	at St. Margaret's, CA (12-9)	CA Trinity	71.6	8	L	1-	15		-0.075
5/01	ST. MARGARET'S, CA (12-9)	CA Trinity	71.6	8	L	6-	14		-0.125
5/02	at Mater Dei (0-14)	CA Trinity	62.8		W	21-	4		0.125
5/05	at Tesoro (18-6)	CA S Coast	73.7	6	L	6-	17		-0.050
# Neutral site			67.5						0.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/07	N	Sage Hill	11-	4	7	3	++	0.00	4.17
3/07	N	Palisades Charter	7-	0	7	4	+	0.00	2.67
3/07	N	Trabuco Hills	4-	8	-4	-3		0.00	-0.50
3/13	H	Irvine	15-	4	11	8	+	-1.14	3.01
3/18	A	Dana Hills	14-	7	7	2	++	1.14	4.63
3/23	H	Santa Margarita Cathol	8-	7	1	1		-1.14	-0.44
3/25	A	Mater Dei	5-	4	1	5	–	1.14	-3.93
3/30	A	Santa Margarita Cathol	8-	11	-3	-1	–	1.14	-2.16
4/02	H	St. Margaret's, CA	6-	16	-10	-5	––	-1.14	-5.38
4/22	H	Santa Margarita Cathol	11-	9	2	1		-1.14	0.56
4/23	H	Corona Del Mar	8-	11	-3	-1		-1.14	-1.69
4/24	A	St. Margaret's, CA	1-	15	-14	-7	–––	1.14	-7.11
5/01	H	St. Margaret's, CA	6-	14	-8	-5	–	-1.14	-3.38
5/02	A	Mater Dei	21-	4	17	5	+++	1.14	12.07
5/05	A	Tesoro	6-	17	-11	-8	–	1.14	-2.54
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/13	H	Irvine	15-	4	-1.00
4/02	H	St. Margaret's, CA	6-	16	0.00
4/24	A	St. Margaret's, CA	1-	15	4.00
5/02	A	Mater Dei	21-	4	-7.00
5/05	A	Tesoro	6-	17	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	68.		Natl CCR Rank	1269
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	67.76		Natl Power Rank	1269
Natl SOS Rating	57.80		Natl SOS Rank	1498
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	696
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	992
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7

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