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Kentucky Country Day Bearcats (18-3)

Region: KYState: KYCoach: Patrick McAnulty

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/27at Harpeth Hall (16-5)TN Reg B74.4L10-13 -0.300  
2/28vs. Ensworth # (17-1)TN Reg B80.0W14-11 0.325  
3/03MANUAL (18-4)KY75.32W14- 9 0.150  
3/12at Male Club (3-9)KY60.29W23- 3 0.000  
3/14LEXINGTON CLUB (3-9)KY61.78W20- 2 0.000  
4/07ASSUMPTION (7-8)KY67.96W18- 6 0.000  
4/09at Mercy Academy, KY (11-4)KY72.13W16-10 0.075  
4/14at Collegiate, KY (9-6)KY69.84W13- 6 0.100  
4/16CENTURIONS CLUB (1-9)KY53.010W21- 2 0.000  
4/18at Park Tudor School (12-3)IN68.5W20- 4 0.075  
4/18vs. Zionsville # (15-3)IN69.5W15- 7 0.050  
4/21BALLARD, KY (10-6)KY69.35W15- 9 0.050  
4/23at Eastern, KY (0-12)KY42.1W22- 0 0.000  
4/25ST. URSULA, CINCINATTI (4-11)OH D1 S69.9W13- 5 0.025  
4/25HUTCHISON SCHOOL (18-1)TN Reg C77.6L4- 9 -0.275  
4/25at Collegiate, KY (9-6)KY69.84W14- 6 0.100  
4/28at Sacred Heart Acad, KY (5-7)KY65.57W23- 5 0.000  
5/05OLDHAM COUNTY (1-9)KY47.1W21- 1 0.000  
5/09LEXINGTON CLUB (3-9)KY61.78W21- 2 0.000  
5/11vs. Collegiate, KY # (9-6)KY69.84W17- 5 0.100  
5/14vs. Manual # (18-4)KY75.32L7-10 -0.325  
# Neutral site 67.4     0.15  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/27AHarpeth Hall10-13-3   2       ––1.21       -4.93
2/28NEnsworth14-113   -3       ++0.00       5.50
3/03HManual14-95   4       -0.47       1.21
3/12AMale Club23-320   16       +0.47       3.53
3/14HLexington Club20-218   17       -0.47       1.03
4/07HAssumption18-612   10       -0.47       1.97
4/09AMercy Academy, KY16-106   7       0.47       -1.07
4/14ACollegiate, KY13-67   6       0.47       1.06
4/16HCenturions Club21-219   22       –-0.47       -3.17
4/18APark Tudor School20-416   7       +++1.59       8.54
4/18NZionsville15-78   8       0.00       0.03
4/21HBallard, KY15-96   8       –-0.47       -2.47
4/23AEastern, KY22-022   27       ––0.47       -5.31
4/25HSt. Ursula, Cincinatti13-58   9       -1.28       -0.83
4/25HHutchison School4-9-5   1       –––-1.21       -6.11
4/25ACollegiate, KY14-68   6       +0.47       2.06
4/28ASacred Heart Acad, KY23-518   11       +++0.47       6.52
5/05HOldham County21-120   27       –––-0.47       -6.67
5/09HLexington Club21-219   17       +-0.47       2.03
5/11NCollegiate, KY17-512   6       ++0.00       5.59
5/14NManual7-10-3   3       –––0.00       -6.32
         0.002.20

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/12AMale Club23-3-3.53
3/14HLexington Club20-2-1.03
4/07HAssumption18-6-1.97
4/16HCenturions Club21-23.17
4/18APark Tudor School20-4-6.00
4/23AEastern, KY22-05.31
4/28ASacred Heart Acad, KY23-5-6.52
5/05HOldham County21-16.67
5/09HLexington Club21-2-2.03
5/11NCollegiate, KY17-5-2.00
10-goal correction: -0.38

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 78.   Natl CCR Rank 501
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 77.50   Natl Power Rank 501
Natl SOS Rating 58.40   Natl SOS Rank 1461
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.15   Natl Quality Win Rank 853
W-L Pct Rating 0.86   W-L Pct Rank 131
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 18-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 10.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 6-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 5.9
Wins/Losses (top 10) 12-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 11.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 14-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 12.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 9.3



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