| Region: FL Dist 4 | State: FL | Coach: Carl Tipton |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
2/12 | at Oviedo (15-5) | FL Dist 3 | 76.0 | 7 | W | 8- | 6 | | 0.225 |
2/18 | LYMAN (2-11) | FL Dist 4 | 65.7 | | W | 24- | 2 | | 0.000 |
2/20 | LAKE HOWELL (9-6) | FL Dist 3 | 72.1 | | W | 10- | 6 | | 0.050 |
2/24 | at West Orange (16-4) | FL Dist 5 | 71.5 | | W | 14- | 3 | | 0.100 |
2/25 | OVIEDO (15-5) | FL Dist 3 | 76.0 | 7 | W | 18- | 10 | | 0.125 |
3/02 | APOPKA (4-11) | FL Dist 4 | 66.7 | | W | 18- | 0 | | 0.000 |
3/06 | at Lake Brantley (16-5) | FL Dist 4 | 79.5 | 2 | L | 6- | 15 | | -0.150 |
3/13 | at Winter Springs (15-5) | FL Dist 3 | 77.4 | 4 | L | 12- | 13 | ot | -0.200 |
3/14 | vs. Vero Beach # (22-1) | FL Dist 8 | 88.5 | 1 | L | 3- | 18 | | 0.000 |
3/14 | vs. Olympia # (16-4) | FL Dist 5 | 76.3 | 6 | L | 7- | 9 | | -0.275 |
3/18 | SANFORD SEMINOLE (2-12) | FL Dist 3 | 64.5 | | W | 22- | 1 | | 0.000 |
3/20 | HAGERTY (7-8) | FL Dist 3 | 68.5 | | W | 21- | 5 | | 0.000 |
3/23 | WINTER SPRINGS (15-5) | FL Dist 3 | 77.4 | 4 | W | 10- | 9 | ot | 0.200 |
3/25 | at Lake Howell (9-6) | FL Dist 3 | 72.1 | | W | 19- | 8 | | 0.150 |
3/30 | at Bishop Moore (6-10) | FL Dist 5 | 68.3 | | W | 20- | 10 | | 0.025 |
4/03 | BARTRAM TRAIL (15-5) | FL Dist 2 | 74.7 | 8 | W | 20- | 14 | | 0.125 |
4/06 | APOPKA (4-11) | FL Dist 4 | 66.7 | | W | 18- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/07 | LAKE BRANTLEY (16-5) | FL Dist 4 | 79.5 | 2 | L | 12- | 13 | | -0.250 |
| # Neutral site | | 70.1 | | | | | | 0.12 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/12 | A | Oviedo | 8- | 6 | 2 | 1 | | 1.79 | 0.58 | |
2/18 | H | Lyman | 24- | 2 | 22 | 21 | | -1.79 | 0.98 | |
2/20 | H | Lake Howell | 10- | 6 | 4 | 8 | – | -1.79 | -3.55 | |
2/24 | A | West Orange | 14- | 3 | 11 | 6 | ++ | 1.79 | 4.51 | |
2/25 | H | Oviedo | 18- | 10 | 8 | 5 | + | -1.79 | 2.99 | |
3/02 | H | Apopka | 18- | 0 | 18 | 17 | | -1.79 | 0.61 | |
3/06 | A | Lake Brantley | 6- | 15 | -9 | -4 | –– | 1.79 | -5.08 | |
3/13 | A | Winter Springs | 12- | 13 | -1 | -2 | | 1.79 | 0.70 | |
3/14 | N | Vero Beach | 3- | 18 | -15 | -12 | – | 0.00 | -2.76 | |
3/14 | N | Olympia | 7- | 9 | -2 | 1 | – | 0.00 | -3.46 | |
3/18 | H | Sanford Seminole | 22- | 1 | 21 | 23 | – | -1.79 | -2.01 | |
3/20 | H | Hagerty | 21- | 5 | 16 | 14 | | -1.79 | 1.89 | |
3/23 | H | Winter Springs | 10- | 9 | 1 | 2 | | -1.79 | -0.89 | |
3/25 | A | Lake Howell | 19- | 8 | 11 | 4 | +++ | 1.79 | 7.03 | |
3/30 | A | Bishop Moore | 20- | 10 | 10 | 9 | | 1.79 | 0.76 | |
4/03 | H | Bartram Trail | 20- | 14 | 6 | 5 | | -1.79 | 0.77 | |
4/06 | H | Apopka | 18- | 3 | 15 | 17 | – | -1.79 | -2.39 | |
4/07 | H | Lake Brantley | 12- | 13 | -1 | 0 | | -1.79 | -0.67 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/18 | H | Lyman | 24- | 2 | -0.98 |
2/24 | A | West Orange | 14- | 3 | -1.00 |
3/02 | H | Apopka | 18- | 0 | -0.61 |
3/14 | N | Vero Beach | 3- | 18 | 2.76 |
3/18 | H | Sanford Seminole | 22- | 1 | 2.01 |
3/20 | H | Hagerty | 21- | 5 | -1.89 |
3/25 | A | Lake Howell | 19- | 8 | -1.00 |
3/30 | A | Bishop Moore | 20- | 10 | 0.00 |
4/06 | H | Apopka | 18- | 3 | 2.39 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.09 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 77. | | Natl CCR Rank | 528 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 77.12 | | Natl Power Rank | 528 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 62.52 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1126 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.12 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 888 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.72 | | W-L Pct Rank | 441 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 13-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 4-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -1.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 7-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 1.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 6.7 |
|
