| Region: VA NW AAA | State: VA | Coach: Jay Harkey |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/12 | H | Broad Run | 11- | 7 | 4 | 6 | | -1.63 | -2.45 | |
3/23 | H | Heritage, VA | 20- | 4 | 16 | 24 | | -1.63 | -8.47 | |
3/30 | A | Broad Run | 13- | 1 | 12 | 3 | +++ | 1.63 | 8.81 | |
4/01 | A | Oakton | 16- | 8 | 8 | 3 | ++ | 1.63 | 4.94 | |
4/02 | A | Stonewall Jackson | 19- | 0 | 19 | 25 | | 1.63 | -5.70 | |
4/13 | H | Osbourn HS | 19- | 1 | 18 | 19 | | -1.63 | -1.28 | |
4/16 | A | Battlefield | 16- | 7 | 9 | 3 | +++ | 1.63 | 6.08 | |
4/23 | H | Culpeper County | 23- | 0 | 23 | 34 | | -1.63 | -10.94 | |
4/25 | H | Osbourn Park | 20- | 0 | 20 | 18 | + | -1.63 | 2.33 | |
4/25 | H | Yorktown, VA | 16- | 4 | 12 | 14 | | -1.63 | -1.57 | |
4/27 | H | Fauquier | 22- | 1 | 21 | 19 | | -1.63 | 1.53 | |
4/29 | A | Mercersburg Academy | 19- | 10 | 9 | 9 | | 1.32 | | 0.33 |
4/30 | A | Liberty-Bealeton, VA | 19- | 0 | 19 | 15 | + | 1.63 | 3.93 | |
5/08 | H | Eastern View | 18- | 1 | 17 | 20 | | -1.63 | -3.11 | |
5/13 | N | Osbourn Park | 22- | 2 | 20 | 16 | + | 0.00 | 3.96 | |
5/14 | N | Battlefield | 14- | 6 | 8 | 5 | + | 0.00 | 3.45 | |
5/22 | H | Albemarle | 9- | 5 | 4 | 7 | | -1.63 | -2.54 | |
5/27 | H | Battlefield | 9- | 6 | 3 | 6 | | -1.63 | -3.18 | |
5/30 | H | W.T. Woodson | 12- | 2 | 10 | 3 | +++ | -1.63 | 6.95 | |
6/02 | N | Chantilly | 9- | 14 | -5 | -2 | | 0.00 | -2.74 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/23 | H | Heritage, VA | 20- | 4 | 8.47 |
3/30 | A | Broad Run | 13- | 1 | -2.00 |
4/02 | A | Stonewall Jackson | 19- | 0 | 5.70 |
4/13 | H | Osbourn HS | 19- | 1 | 1.28 |
4/23 | H | Culpeper County | 23- | 0 | 10.94 |
4/25 | H | Osbourn Park | 20- | 0 | -2.33 |
4/25 | H | Yorktown, VA | 16- | 4 | 1.57 |
4/27 | H | Fauquier | 22- | 1 | -1.53 |
4/30 | A | Liberty-Bealeton, VA | 19- | 0 | -3.93 |
5/08 | H | Eastern View | 18- | 1 | 3.11 |
5/13 | N | Osbourn Park | 22- | 2 | -3.96 |
5/30 | H | W.T. Woodson | 12- | 2 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.87 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 85. | | Natl CCR Rank | 161 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 84.50 | | Natl Power Rank | 157 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 66.91 | | Natl SOS Rank | 814 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.93 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 191 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.95 | | W-L Pct Rank | 35 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 19-1 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 12.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 2.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 2.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 8-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 5.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.7 |
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