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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Liberty, MD Lions (13-2)

Region: MD 2A-1A

State: MD

Coach: Nikki Jones

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/24	FRANCIS SCOTT KEY (5-9)	MD 3A-2A	69.7		W	18-	3		0.000
3/31	LINGANORE (5-9)	MD 4A-3A	70.9		W	19-	1		0.000
4/02	NORTH CARROLL (10-5)	MD 4A-3A	88.3		W	10-	9		0.150
4/07	at Brunswick, MD (4-6)	MD 2A-1A	67.4		W	11-	0		0.000
4/16	at Frederick (2-10)	MD 3A-2A	60.9		W	27-	0		0.000
4/17	at Urbana (7-7)	MD 4A-3A	83.0		W	20-	6		0.075
4/23	at South Carroll (7-7)	MD 2A-1A	83.9		W	18-	2		0.100
4/24	SMITHSBURG (8-5)	MD 2A-1A	70.4		W	22-	4		0.000
4/27	CATOCTIN (5-11)	MD 2A-1A	63.8		W	23-	3		0.000
4/28	at Winters Mill (13-5)	MD 3A-2A	89.4	10	W	10-	9		0.200
4/30	CENTURY, MD (15-1)	MD 2A-1A	94.2	1	W	10-	9		0.300
5/06	WESTMINSTER, MD (16-2)	MD 4A-3A	93.4	3	L	10-	11	ot	-0.200
5/09	CATOCTIN (5-11)	MD 2A-1A	63.8		W	23-	0		0.000
5/11	POOLESVILLE (10-2)	MD 2A-1A	72.3		W	21-	5		0.000
5/13	CENTURY, MD (15-1)	MD 2A-1A	94.2	1	L	14-	15		-0.200
			79.3						0.43

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	Francis Scott Key	18-	3	15	18	–	-0.90	-2.80
3/31	H	Linganore	19-	1	18	17		-0.90	0.99
4/02	H	North Carroll	10-	9	1	4	–	-0.90	-2.73
4/07	A	Brunswick, MD	11-	0	11	19	–––	0.90	-7.73
4/16	A	Frederick	27-	0	27	27		0.90	0.35
4/17	A	Urbana	20-	6	14	7	+++	0.90	7.48
4/23	A	South Carroll	18-	2	16	6	+++	0.90	9.60
4/24	H	Smithsburg	22-	4	18	20	–	-0.90	-2.16
4/27	H	Catoctin	23-	3	20	25	––	-0.90	-5.02
4/28	A	Winters Mill	10-	9	1	2		0.90	-0.86
4/30	H	Century, MD	10-	9	1	-2	+	-0.90	3.24
5/06	H	Westminster, MD	10-	11	-1	-2		-0.90	0.89
5/09	H	Catoctin	23-	0	23	25	–	-0.90	-2.02
5/11	H	Poolesville	21-	5	16	16		-0.90	-0.46
5/13	H	Century, MD	14-	15	-1	-2		-0.90	1.24
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	H	Francis Scott Key	18-	3	2.80
3/31	H	Linganore	19-	1	-0.99
4/07	A	Brunswick, MD	11-	0	7.73
4/16	A	Frederick	27-	0	-0.35
4/17	A	Urbana	20-	6	-4.00
4/23	A	South Carroll	18-	2	-6.00
4/24	H	Smithsburg	22-	4	2.16
4/27	H	Catoctin	23-	3	5.02
5/09	H	Catoctin	23-	0	2.02
5/11	H	Poolesville	21-	5	0.46
10-goal correction: 0.59

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	188.		Natl CCR Rank	32
Natl Poll Vote	96.		Natl Poll Rank	39
Natl Power Rating	91.83		Natl Power Rank	32
Natl SOS Rating	77.70		Natl SOS Rank	302
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.43		Natl Quality Win Rank	538
W-L Pct Rating	0.87		W-L Pct Rank	119
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	11.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-0.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	12.7

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