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Longmeadow Lancers (21-2)

Region: MA West D1State: MACoach: Kathy Parker

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/01CATHEDRAL, MA (2-13)MA West D162.4W17- 0 0.000  
4/02AMHERST-PELHAM (7-10)MA West D169.0W20- 1 0.000  
4/08at West Springfield, MA (2-12)MA West D163.7W18- 3 0.000  
4/14WESTFIELD HS, MA (2-11)MA West D165.4W19- 0 0.000  
4/18at Andover, MA (14-5)MA No D177.8W10- 3 0.000  
4/23AGAWAM (14-7)MA West D177.0W17- 6 0.000  
4/25at Loomis Chaffee School (14-1)NE91.6L8-14 -0.125  
4/28at East Longmeadow (9-8)MA West D173.3W19- 3 0.000  
5/02WESTWOOD, MA (24-1)MA So D188.71W9- 5 0.175  
5/04MINNECHAUG (18-3)MA West D182.08W17- 8 0.025  
5/09at Deerfield Academy, MA (9-5)NE82.9W11- 8 0.150  
5/12at Northampton (8-7)MA West D173.7W21- 3 0.000  
5/13at Hotchkiss School (11-4)NE83.0W6- 4 0.175  
5/15at Minnechaug (18-3)MA West D182.08W14- 9 0.075  
5/16NORTHAMPTON (8-7)MA West D173.7W19- 1 0.000  
5/18SOUTH HADLEY (10-10)MA West D172.2W19- 7 0.000  
5/21at Westborough (14-5)MA Cen D179.5W15-10 0.075  
5/22EAST LONGMEADOW (9-8)MA West D173.3W22- 5 0.000  
5/26at Agawam (14-7)MA West D177.0W18- 6 0.025  
6/02vs. East Longmeadow # (9-8)MA West D173.3W20- 1 0.000  
6/08vs. Minnechaug # (18-3)MA West D182.08W22- 5 0.050  
6/10vs. Westborough # (14-5)MA Cen D179.5W15- 7 0.050  
6/12vs. Westwood, MA # (24-1)MA So D188.71L10-11 -0.300  
# Neutral site 77.9     0.37  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/01HCathedral, MA17-017   24       –––-1.24       -7.27
4/02HAmherst-Pelham20-119   19       -1.24       0.26
4/08AWest Springfield, MA18-315   20       ––1.24       -5.09
4/14HWestfield HS, MA19-019   22       -1.24       -2.68
4/18AAndover, MA10-37   10       1.24       -2.64
4/23HAgawam17-611   12       -1.24       -0.65
4/25ALoomis Chaffee School8-14-6   -5       1.13       -0.91
4/28AEast Longmeadow19-316   13       +1.24       2.60
5/02HWestwood, MA9-54   3       -1.24       1.08
5/04HMinnechaug17-89   9       -1.24       0.02
5/09ADeerfield Academy, MA11-83   4       1.13       -0.65
5/12ANorthampton21-318   13       ++1.24       4.70
5/13AHotchkiss School6-42   3       1.13       -1.49
5/15AMinnechaug14-95   7       1.24       -1.50
5/16HNorthampton19-118   16       +-1.24       2.22
5/18HSouth Hadley19-712   16       ––-1.24       -4.13
5/21AWestborough15-105   7       1.24       -1.79
5/22HEast Longmeadow22-517   16       -1.24       1.12
5/26AAgawam18-612   9       +1.24       2.84
6/02NEast Longmeadow20-119   15       ++0.00       4.36
6/08NMinnechaug22-517   8       +++0.00       9.26
6/10NWestborough15-78   8       0.00       -0.03
6/12NWestwood, MA10-11-1   2       0.00       -2.68
         0.00-3.05

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/01HCathedral, MA17-07.27
4/02HAmherst-Pelham20-1-0.26
4/08AWest Springfield, MA18-35.09
4/14HWestfield HS, MA19-02.68
4/23HAgawam17-60.65
4/28AEast Longmeadow19-3-2.60
5/12ANorthampton21-3-4.70
5/16HNorthampton19-1-2.22
5/18HSouth Hadley19-74.13
5/22HEast Longmeadow22-5-1.12
5/26AAgawam18-6-2.00
6/02NEast Longmeadow20-1-4.36
6/08NMinnechaug22-5-7.00
10-goal correction: -0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 184.   Natl CCR Rank 49
Natl Poll Vote 96.   Natl Poll Rank 48
Natl Power Rating 87.64   Natl Power Rank 84
Natl SOS Rating 74.82   Natl SOS Rank 399
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.37   Natl Quality Win Rank 605
W-L Pct Rating 0.91   W-L Pct Rank 66
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 21-2   Ave Goal diff (all ) 10.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 1.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 4-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 6.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 6.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 8.0



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