High School Computer Ratings

Mercy, MD Magic (2-15)

Region: MD IAAM A

State: MD

Coach: Jen Gray

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/24	at Maryvale Prep (10-6)	MD IAAM A	91.7	4	L	7-	17	0.000
3/26	ST. MARY'S, MD (10-5)	MD IAAM A	91.3	6	L	8-	14	-0.025
3/27	FALLSTON (17-2)	MD 3A-2A	92.8		L	10-	19	-0.050
3/30	at Archbishop Spalding (9-12)	MD IAAM A	88.8	10	L	6-	18	-0.075
4/02	at McDonogh School (19-1)	MD IAAM A	97.8	1	L	3-	22	0.000
4/07	SETON KEOUGH (1-16)	MD IAAM A	82.4		W	12-	6	0.200
4/08	MOUNT DE SALES (8-11)	MD IAAM A	88.1		L	8-	13	-0.125
4/09	ST. PAUL'S SG, MD (12-7)	MD IAAM A	90.4	7	L	6-	18	-0.075
4/14	at Bryn Mawr SG (13-6)	MD IAAM A	91.6	5	L	6-	16	0.000
4/16	at Severn School (7-12)	MD IAAM A	88.5		L	4-	16	-0.075
4/17	NORTH HARFORD (7-6)	MD 3A-2A	86.0		L	7-	9	-0.200
4/21	ROLAND PARK COUNTRY (7-11)	MD IAAM A	88.9	9	L	10-	17	-0.100
4/23	at Garrison Forest (6-9)	MD IAAM A	89.0	8	L	9-	16	-0.050
4/27	at Inst. of Notre Dame (8-9)	MD IAAM B	74.4		W	20-	10	0.050
4/28	NOTRE DAME PREP, MD (17-2)	MD IAAM A	97.2	2	L	5-	18	0.000
4/30	at John Carroll School (13-5)	MD IAAM A	92.4	3	L	4-	15	0.000
5/08	at St. Mary's, MD (10-5)	MD IAAM A	91.3	6	L	4-	13	0.000
			87.7					-0.53

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	A	Maryvale Prep	7-	17	-10	-12	+	0.97	2.44
3/26	H	St. Mary's, MD	8-	14	-6	-9	+	-0.97	3.26
3/27	H	Fallston	10-	19	-9	-8		-0.93		-0.69
3/30	A	Archbishop Spalding	6-	18	-12	-7	––	0.97	-4.83
4/02	A	McDonogh School	3-	22	-19	-19		0.97	0.24
4/07	H	Seton Keough	12-	6	6	2	++	-0.97	4.06
4/08	H	Mount de Sales	8-	13	-5	-5		-0.97	0.32
4/09	H	St. Paul's SG, MD	6-	18	-12	-7	––	-0.97	-4.68
4/14	A	Bryn Mawr SG	6-	16	-10	-11		0.97	0.59
4/16	A	Severn School	4-	16	-12	-7	––	0.97	-4.74
4/17	H	North Harford	7-	9	-2	-2		-0.93		-0.49
4/21	H	Roland Park Country	10-	17	-7	-6		-0.97	-0.53
4/23	A	Garrison Forest	9-	16	-7	-8		0.97	0.62
4/27	A	Inst. of Notre Dame	20-	10	10	8	+	1.14		2.02
4/28	H	Notre Dame Prep, MD	5-	18	-13	-14		-0.97	0.52
4/30	A	John Carroll School	4-	15	-11	-12		0.97	0.53
5/08	A	St. Mary's, MD	4-	13	-9	-11	+	0.97	2.19
									0.00	0.85