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Minnechaug Falcons (18-3)

Region: MA West D1State: MACoach: David Yelle

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/31at South Hadley (10-10)MA West D172.2W10- 7 0.100  
4/09CATHEDRAL, MA (2-13)MA West D162.4W20- 6 0.000  
4/13WEST SPRINGFIELD, MA (2-12)MA West D163.7W13- 1 0.000  
4/15at Simsbury (7-8)CT Div 177.3W14- 8 0.175  
4/17at Cathedral, MA (2-13)MA West D162.4W12- 2 0.000  
4/21CONARD (8-9)CT Div 178.0W15- 8 0.125  
4/27at Westfield HS, MA (2-11)MA West D165.4W13- 4 0.000  
4/28at Amherst-Pelham (7-10)MA West D169.0W12- 1 0.025  
4/30at Agawam (14-7)MA West D177.0W17-12 0.225  
5/04at Longmeadow (21-2)MA West D187.62L8-17 -0.025  
5/06EAST LONGMEADOW (9-8)MA West D173.3W20- 6 0.050  
5/08NORTHAMPTON (8-7)MA West D173.7W16- 4 0.050  
5/11TANTASQUA (8-13)MA Cen D160.1W19- 2 0.000  
5/13AGAWAM (14-7)MA West D177.0W16- 8 0.150  
5/15LONGMEADOW (21-2)MA West D187.62L9-14 -0.075  
5/19at Northampton (8-7)MA West D173.7W15- 9 0.100  
5/22WESTFIELD HS, MA (2-11)MA West D165.4W13- 2 0.000  
5/26at East Longmeadow (9-8)MA West D173.3W14- 3 0.100  
5/29AMHERST-PELHAM (7-10)MA West D169.0W16- 4 0.000  
6/02AGAWAM (14-7)MA West D177.0W10- 5 0.150  
6/08vs. Longmeadow # (21-2)MA West D187.62L5-22 -0.050  
# Neutral site 74.2     1.10  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/31ASouth Hadley10-73   6       1.24       -2.91
4/09HCathedral, MA20-614   17       -1.24       -2.53
4/13HWest Springfield, MA13-112   15       -1.24       -2.83
4/15ASimsbury14-86   3       +1.24       2.54
4/17ACathedral, MA12-210   14       ––1.24       -4.05
4/21HConard15-87   5       -1.24       1.74
4/27AWestfield HS, MA13-49   11       1.24       -2.45
4/28AAmherst-Pelham12-111   9       +1.24       2.49
4/30AAgawam17-125   1       +1.24       3.58
5/04ALongmeadow8-17-9   -9       1.24       -0.02
5/06HEast Longmeadow20-614   8       ++-1.24       5.86
5/08HNorthampton16-412   8       +-1.24       3.96
5/11HTantasqua19-217   19       -1.24       -2.37
5/13HAgawam16-88   4       ++-1.24       4.09
5/15HLongmeadow9-14-5   -7       -1.24       1.50
5/19ANorthampton15-96   6       1.24       0.44
5/22HWestfield HS, MA13-211   14       -1.24       -2.94
5/26AEast Longmeadow14-311   6       ++1.24       5.34
5/29HAmherst-Pelham16-412   11       -1.24       1.00
6/02HAgawam10-55   4       -1.24       1.09
6/08NLongmeadow5-22-17   -8       –––0.00       -9.26
         0.004.28

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/09HCathedral, MA20-62.53
4/13HWest Springfield, MA13-12.83
4/17ACathedral, MA12-24.05
4/28AAmherst-Pelham12-1-1.00
5/06HEast Longmeadow20-6-4.00
5/08HNorthampton16-4-2.00
5/11HTantasqua19-22.37
5/22HWestfield HS, MA13-22.94
5/26AEast Longmeadow14-3-1.00
5/29HAmherst-Pelham16-4-1.00
6/08NLongmeadow5-227.00
10-goal correction: 0.61

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 82.   Natl CCR Rank 258
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 81.99   Natl Power Rank 257
Natl SOS Rating 68.43   Natl SOS Rank 721
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.10   Natl Quality Win Rank 135
W-L Pct Rating 0.86   W-L Pct Rank 133
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 18-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -10.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -10.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -10.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 0.0



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