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  • 2009


Mission Hills Grizzlies (6-12)

Region: CA AvocadoState: CACoach: Amy Kivett

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/11at Otay Ranch (10-6)CA Metro65.3L0- 9 -0.125  
3/13LA JOLLA CDS (2-11)CA Coastal61.0L1-15 -0.200  
3/16at Francis Parker School (5-14)CA Coastal66.4L0-15 -0.050  
3/20at Monte Vista, Spring V. (11-8)CA Grosmnt70.4L4-11 0.000  
3/26at Helix Charter (11-8)CA Grosmnt69.1L4-12 -0.050  
3/27SANTANA (15-5)CA Grosmnt73.810L0-15 0.000  
3/30at Granite Hills (3-18)CA Grosmnt60.0L2-10 -0.200  
4/01CARLSBAD (12-12)CA Palomar74.39L3-16 0.000  
4/17MT. CARMEL, CA (13-5)CA Avocado72.5L6-15 -0.025  
4/20at Fallbrook (2-11)CA Avocado52.4W11- 1 0.175  
4/22RAMONA (1-13)CA Avocado50.4W14- 1 0.100  
4/27at San Marcos (3-9)CA Avocado53.8W12- 1 0.150  
4/29at Mt. Carmel, CA (13-5)CA Avocado72.5L1- 9 0.000  
5/01VALLEY CENTER (14-8)CA Avocado71.7L4-14 0.000  
5/06FALLBROOK (2-11)CA Avocado52.4W11- 5 0.125  
5/11at Valley Center (14-8)CA Avocado71.7L4-15 0.000  
5/15SAN MARCOS (3-9)CA Avocado53.8W11- 2 0.100  
5/18at Ramona (1-13)CA Avocado50.4W13- 5 0.150  
 66.2     0.15  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/11AOtay Ranch0-9-9   -5       ––0.95       -4.22
3/13HLa Jolla CDS1-15-14   -2       –––-0.95       -12.35
3/16AFrancis Parker School0-15-15   -8       –––0.95       -7.29
3/20AMonte Vista, Spring V.4-11-7   -10       +0.95       3.21
3/26AHelix Charter4-12-8   -8       0.95       -0.17
3/27HSantana0-15-15   -10       ––-0.95       -5.17
3/30AGranite Hills2-10-8   -2       ––0.95       -5.55
4/01HCarlsbad3-16-13   -13       -0.95       -0.37
4/17HMt. Carmel, CA6-15-9   -9       -0.95       -0.45
4/20AFallbrook11-110   3       +++0.95       6.57
4/22HRamona14-113   6       +++-0.95       7.16
4/27ASan Marcos12-111   4       +++0.95       7.37
4/29AMt. Carmel, CA1-9-8   -10       +0.95       2.46
5/01HValley Center4-14-10   -10       -0.95       -0.15
5/06HFallbrook11-56   5       -0.95       0.66
5/11AValley Center4-15-11   -12       0.95       0.76
5/15HSan Marcos11-29   6       +-0.95       3.46
5/18ARamona13-58   4       ++0.95       4.07
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/13HLa Jolla CDS1-154.00
3/16AFrancis Parker School0-155.00
3/27HSantana0-155.00
4/01HCarlsbad3-160.37
4/20AFallbrook11-10.00
4/22HRamona14-1-3.00
4/27ASan Marcos12-1-1.00
5/01HValley Center4-140.00
5/11AValley Center4-15-0.76
10-goal correction: 0.53

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 60.   Natl CCR Rank 1891
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 60.07   Natl Power Rank 1891
Natl SOS Rating 56.49   Natl SOS Rank 1618
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.15   Natl Quality Win Rank 844
W-L Pct Rating 0.33   W-L Pct Rank 1514
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 6-12   Ave Goal diff (all ) -3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -10.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.0



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