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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Mt. Ararat Eagles (10-4)

Region: ME A East

State: ME

Coach: Jill Carney

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/16	OXFORD HILLS (3-6)	ME A East	58.5		W	9-	7		0.100
4/27	at Messalonskee (10-2)	ME A East	67.9	10	L	6-	10		-0.200
4/30	at Camden Hills (0-8)	ME B East	51.2		W	12-	5		0.000
5/09	at Brunswick, ME (15-0)	ME A East	80.0	2	L	7-	19		-0.025
5/11	CONY (5-5)	ME A East	62.8		W	9-	6		0.225
5/13	GARDINER (3-5)	ME B East	54.9		W	12-	1		0.000
5/14	at Lewiston (4-7)	ME A East	59.5		W	11-	7		0.175
5/18	EDWARD LITTLE (1-8)	ME A East	53.3		W	17-	2		0.000
5/21	MOUNTAIN VALLEY (4-8)	ME B East	55.4		W	16-	4		0.000
5/26	at Morse (6-7)	ME B East	61.6		W	13-	8		0.200
5/28	at Oxford Hills (3-6)	ME A East	58.5		W	15-	6		0.125
6/01	BRUNSWICK, ME (15-0)	ME A East	80.0	2	L	7-	16		-0.050
6/13	at Messalonskee (10-2)	ME A East	67.9	10	W	11-	10		0.300
6/17	at Brunswick, ME (15-0)	ME A East	80.0	2	L	8-	20		-0.025
			69.0						0.82

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/16	H	Oxford Hills	9-	7	2	6	––	-0.64	-4.42
4/27	A	Messalonskee	6-	10	-4	-2		0.64	-1.59
4/30	A	Camden Hills	12-	5	7	11	–	0.64	-3.86
5/09	A	Brunswick, ME	7-	19	-12	-9	–	0.64	-2.59
5/11	H	Cony	9-	6	3	1		-0.64	1.59
5/13	H	Gardiner	12-	1	11	12		-0.64	-0.64
5/14	A	Lewiston	11-	7	4	3		0.64	0.67
5/18	H	Edward Little	17-	2	15	12	+	-0.64	2.78
5/21	H	Mountain Valley	16-	4	12	11		-0.64	1.14
5/26	A	Morse	13-	8	5	2	+	0.64	3.11
5/28	A	Oxford Hills	15-	6	9	5	+	0.64	3.87
6/01	H	Brunswick, ME	7-	16	-9	-8		-0.64	-0.88
6/13	A	Messalonskee	11-	10	1	-2	+	0.64	3.41
6/17	A	Brunswick, ME	8-	20	-12	-9	–	0.64	-2.59
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/09	A	Brunswick, ME	7-	19	2.00
5/13	H	Gardiner	12-	1	0.64
5/18	H	Edward Little	17-	2	-2.78
5/21	H	Mountain Valley	16-	4	-1.14
6/17	A	Brunswick, ME	8-	20	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	66.		Natl CCR Rank	1432
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	66.31		Natl Power Rank	1432
Natl SOS Rating	60.66		Natl SOS Rank	1253
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.82		Natl Quality Win Rank	239
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	470
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.7

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