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Mt. Carmel, CA Sundevils (13-5)

Region: CA AvocadoState: CACoach: Rob Alarcon

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/13BONITA VISTA (10-8)CA Metro64.7W12- 4 0.075  
3/17at Monte Vista, Spring V. (11-8)CA Grosmnt70.4W12-11ot0.275  
3/24at San Dieguito Academy (4-14)CA Coastal64.7W12- 6 0.175  
4/01at Rancho Bernardo (16-6)CA Palomar78.54L10-13 -0.050  
4/02SAN MARCOS (3-9)CA Avocado53.8W15- 2 0.000  
4/17at Mission Hills (6-12)CA Avocado60.1W15- 6 0.025  
4/20RAMONA (1-13)CA Avocado50.4W14- 0 0.000  
4/23at Fallbrook (2-11)CA Avocado52.4W12- 0 0.000  
4/28VALLEY CENTER (14-8)CA Avocado71.7W9- 5 0.250  
4/29MISSION HILLS (6-12)CA Avocado60.1W9- 1 0.000  
5/01at Westview, CA (7-14)CA Palomar72.0L8-13 -0.150  
5/04at San Marcos (3-9)CA Avocado53.8W15- 4 0.000  
5/05at Granite Hills (3-18)CA Grosmnt60.0W15- 6 0.075  
5/06at Ramona (1-13)CA Avocado50.4W14- 3 0.000  
5/07SANTANA (15-5)CA Grosmnt73.810L7- 82ot-0.250  
5/11FALLBROOK (2-11)CA Avocado52.4W11- 2 0.000  
5/13at Valley Center (14-8)CA Avocado71.7L10-11ot-0.200  
5/15SCRIPPS RANCH (15-7)CA City76.35L8-13 -0.125  
 66.2     0.10  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/13HBonita Vista12-48   7       -0.95       1.08
3/17AMonte Vista, Spring V.12-111   -1       0.95       1.70
3/24ASan Dieguito Academy12-66   3       +0.95       3.27
4/01ARancho Bernardo10-13-3   -8       ++0.95       5.25
4/02HSan Marcos15-213   15       –-0.95       -2.05
4/17AMission Hills15-69   9       0.95       0.45
4/20HRamona14-014   15       -0.95       -1.35
4/23AFallbrook12-012   13       0.95       -0.93
4/28HValley Center9-54   0       ++-0.95       4.35
4/29HMission Hills9-18   10       –-0.95       -2.46
5/01AWestview, CA8-13-5   -4       0.95       -0.98
5/04ASan Marcos15-411   13       –0.95       -2.14
5/05AGranite Hills15-69   7       0.95       1.94
5/06ARamona14-311   13       –0.95       -2.44
5/07HSantana7-8-1   0       -0.95       -0.67
5/11HFallbrook11-29   15       ––-0.95       -5.84
5/13AValley Center10-11-1   -2       0.95       1.26
5/15HScripps Ranch8-13-5   -5       -0.95       -0.42
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/02HSan Marcos15-22.05
4/20HRamona14-01.35
4/23AFallbrook12-00.93
5/04ASan Marcos15-42.14
5/06ARamona14-32.44
10-goal correction: 0.50

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 72.   Natl CCR Rank 853
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 72.46   Natl Power Rank 853
Natl SOS Rating 56.64   Natl SOS Rank 1598
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.10   Natl Quality Win Rank 927
W-L Pct Rating 0.72   W-L Pct Rank 439
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 13-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 2-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.0



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