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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Mullen Mustangs (8-8)

Region: CO Centen

State: CO

Coach: Allie Craig

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/10	at Arapahoe (10-5)	CO Centen	79.5	9	L	11-	15		-0.175
3/16	at Denver East (12-3)	CO Metro	82.1	4	L	5-	16		-0.100
3/18	CHEROKEE TRAIL (5-10)	CO Centen	62.9		W	12-	0		0.000
3/19	vs. Kinkaid School # (7-10)	TX South	69.2		W	13-	12		0.000
3/31	at Boulder-Centaurus (10-6)	CO Jeffco	78.8		W	18-	12		0.325
4/02	at Regis Jesuit (8-9)	CO Contin	79.2	10	L	7-	17		-0.150
4/03	CHAPARRAL, CO (9-7)	CO Contin	80.2	7	L	12-	18		-0.200
4/06	at Heritage-Littleton (11-3)	CO Contin	81.1	6	L	10-	11		-0.175
4/08	EAGLECREST (1-13)	CO Centen	53.8		W	18-	3		0.000
4/15	OVERLAND (3-9)	CO Centen	58.1		W	15-	1		0.000
4/20	at Colorado Academy (7-8)	CO Metro	78.0		W	12-	7		0.300
4/22	at Grandview (6-8)	CO Centen	72.9		W	20-	8		0.175
4/24	CHERRY CREEK (16-3)	CO Centen	86.2	2	L	6-	20		0.000
4/30	at Smoky Hill (8-8)	CO Centen	78.1		W	12-	10		0.300
5/04	KENT DENVER (14-3)	CO Metro	82.8	3	L	5-	6		-0.150
5/07	at Arapahoe (10-5)	CO Centen	79.5	9	L	12-	16		-0.175
# Neutral site			72.5						-0.02

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/10	A	Arapahoe	11-	15	-4	-3		1.87	-1.01
3/16	A	Denver East	5-	16	-11	-6	––	1.87	-4.90
3/18	H	Cherokee Trail	12-	0	12	15	–	-1.87	-3.36
3/19	N	Kinkaid School	13-	12	1	10	–––	0.00		-8.50
3/31	A	Boulder-Centaurus	18-	12	6	-3	+++	1.87	8.51
4/02	A	Regis Jesuit	7-	17	-10	-4	––	1.87	-5.71
4/03	H	Chaparral, CO	12-	18	-6	-2	––	-1.87	-4.38
4/06	A	Heritage-Littleton	10-	11	-1	-3	+	1.87	2.43
4/08	H	Eaglecrest	18-	3	15	22	–––	-1.87	-6.76
4/15	H	Overland	15-	1	14	18	––	-1.87	-4.43
4/20	A	Colorado Academy	12-	7	5	-2	+++	1.87	7.31
4/22	A	Grandview	20-	8	12	3	+++	1.87	9.39
4/24	H	Cherry Creek	6-	20	-14	-11	–	-1.87	-2.72
4/30	A	Smoky Hill	12-	10	2	-2	+	1.87	3.59
5/04	H	Kent Denver	5-	6	-1	-4	+	-1.87	3.05
5/07	A	Arapahoe	12-	16	-4	-3		1.87	-1.01
									0.00	-8.50

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/16	A	Denver East	5-	16	1.00
3/18	H	Cherokee Trail	12-	0	3.36
4/02	A	Regis Jesuit	7-	17	0.00
4/08	H	Eaglecrest	18-	3	6.76
4/15	H	Overland	15-	1	4.43
4/22	A	Grandview	20-	8	-2.00
4/24	H	Cherry Creek	6-	20	2.72
10-goal correction: 1.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	447
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.69		Natl Power Rank	447
Natl SOS Rating	66.05		Natl SOS Rank	870
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.02		Natl Quality Win Rank	1224
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	1044
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0

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