High School Computer Ratings

Notre Dame Prep, MD Blazers (17-2)

Region: MD IAAM A

State: MD

Coach: Mary Bartel

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/19	at St. Paul's SG, MD (12-7)	MD IAAM A	90.4	7	W	18-	10	0.125
3/26	JOHN CARROLL SCHOOL (13-5)	MD IAAM A	92.4	3	W	17-	9	0.125
3/31	at St. Mary's, MD (10-5)	MD IAAM A	91.3	6	W	12-	11	0.175
4/02	ARCHBISHOP SPALDING (9-12)	MD IAAM A	88.8	10	W	16-	13	0.025
4/04	vs. Bullis School # (19-5)	DC ISL A	91.6		W	13-	7	0.100
4/07	MARYVALE PREP (10-6)	MD IAAM A	91.7	4	W	20-	13	0.150
4/09	GARRISON FOREST (6-9)	MD IAAM A	89.0	8	W	17-	6	0.025
4/13	at Seton Keough (1-16)	MD IAAM A	82.4		W	18-	7	0.000
4/14	vs. Manhasset # (15-4)	NY C Sec 8	92.8		W	18-	9	0.150
4/16	BRYN MAWR SG (13-6)	MD IAAM A	91.6	5	W	10-	6	0.100
4/22	at McDonogh School (19-1)	MD IAAM A	97.8	1	L	6-	10	-0.125
4/23	at Roland Park Country (7-11)	MD IAAM A	88.9	9	W	15-	9	0.100
4/28	at Mercy, MD (2-15)	MD IAAM A	83.5		W	18-	5	0.000
4/30	SEVERN SCHOOL (7-12)	MD IAAM A	88.5		W	16-	5	0.025
5/01	STS. STEPHEN'S & AGNES (25-2)	DC ISL A	96.9		W	13-	11	0.200
5/04	vs. Mount de Sales # (8-11)	MD IAAM A	88.1		W	19-	8	0.050
5/12	MARYVALE PREP (10-6)	MD IAAM A	91.7	4	W	14-	12	0.150
5/14	JOHN CARROLL SCHOOL (13-5)	MD IAAM A	92.4	3	W	14-	10	0.125
5/17	vs. McDonogh School # (19-1)	MD IAAM A	97.8	1	L	10-	13	-0.150
# Neutral site			89.1					1.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/19	A	St. Paul's SG, MD	18-	10	8	5	+	0.97	2.77
3/26	H	John Carroll School	17-	9	8	5	+	-0.97	3.12
3/31	A	St. Mary's, MD	12-	11	1	3	–	0.97	-2.29
4/02	H	Archbishop Spalding	16-	13	3	9	–––	-0.97	-6.25
4/04	N	Bullis School	13-	7	6	6		0.00		0.43
4/07	H	Maryvale Prep	20-	13	7	4	+	-0.97	3.02
4/09	H	Garrison Forest	17-	6	11	9	+	-0.97	2.21
4/13	A	Seton Keough	18-	7	11	14	–	0.97	-3.49
4/14	N	Manhasset	18-	9	9	4	++	0.00		4.63
4/16	H	Bryn Mawr SG	10-	6	4	6		-0.97	-1.83
4/22	A	McDonogh School	6-	10	-4	-5		0.97	0.76
4/23	A	Roland Park Country	15-	9	6	6		0.97	-0.08
4/28	A	Mercy, MD	18-	5	13	14		0.97	-0.52
4/30	H	Severn School	16-	5	11	9		-0.97	1.85
5/01	H	Sts. Stephen's & Agnes	13-	11	2	2		-1.38		0.35
5/04	N	Mount de Sales	19-	8	11	8	+	0.00	2.81
5/12	H	Maryvale Prep	14-	12	2	4		-0.97	-1.98
5/14	H	John Carroll School	14-	10	4	5		-0.97	-0.88
5/17	N	McDonogh School	10-	13	-3	-4		0.00	0.79
									0.00	5.41