| Region: NC SE | State: NC | Coach: Jenna Nobles |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/07 | at New Bern Club (2-7) | NC SE | 52.0 | | W | 14- | 2 | | 0.125 |
3/07 | vs. Wayne Club # (1-7) | NC SE | 51.5 | | W | 15- | 5 | | 0.125 |
3/16 | at Cape Fear Academy (11-6) | NC SE | 63.3 | | L | 2- | 12 | | 0.000 |
3/25 | TOPSAIL (1-10) | NC SE | 51.8 | | W | 21- | 12 | | 0.100 |
3/26 | HOGGARD (17-1) | NC SE | 69.6 | 4 | L | 0- | 15 | | 0.000 |
4/02 | ASHLEY (12-4) | NC SE | 63.9 | | L | 9- | 21 | | 0.000 |
4/11 | CATOCTIN (5-11) | MD 2A-1A | 63.8 | | | - | | | |
4/14 | at Hoggard (17-1) | NC SE | 69.6 | 4 | L | 1- | 22 | | 0.000 |
4/17 | at Ashley (12-4) | NC SE | 63.9 | | L | 4- | 18 | | 0.000 |
4/18 | CARY (5-10) | NC East | 57.5 | | L | 5- | 6 | | -0.200 |
4/22 | LANEY (9-6) | NC SE | 62.2 | | L | 6- | 20 | | -0.025 |
4/23 | CAPE FEAR ACADEMY (11-6) | NC SE | 63.3 | | L | 7- | 16 | | 0.000 |
4/24 | at Topsail (1-10) | NC SE | 51.8 | | W | 14- | 10 | | 0.150 |
4/28 | at Laney (9-6) | NC SE | 62.2 | | L | 5- | 19 | | 0.000 |
| # Neutral site | | 60.2 | | | | | | 0.28 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/07 | A | New Bern Club | 14- | 2 | 12 | 5 | +++ | 0.53 | 7.03 | |
3/07 | N | Wayne Club | 15- | 5 | 10 | 5 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.55 | |
3/16 | A | Cape Fear Academy | 2- | 12 | -10 | -11 | | 0.53 | 1.41 | |
3/25 | H | Topsail | 21- | 12 | 9 | 6 | + | -0.53 | 3.49 | |
3/26 | H | Hoggard | 0- | 15 | -15 | -15 | | -0.53 | 0.10 | |
4/02 | H | Ashley | 9- | 21 | -12 | -10 | | -0.53 | -1.67 | |
4/14 | A | Hoggard | 1- | 22 | -21 | -16 | –– | 0.53 | -4.84 | |
4/17 | A | Ashley | 4- | 18 | -14 | -11 | – | 0.53 | -2.62 | |
4/18 | H | Cary | 5- | 6 | -1 | -2 | | -0.53 | 0.65 | |
4/22 | H | Laney | 6- | 20 | -14 | -9 | –– | -0.53 | -5.02 | |
4/23 | H | Cape Fear Academy | 7- | 16 | -9 | -10 | | -0.53 | 1.36 | |
4/24 | A | Topsail | 14- | 10 | 4 | 4 | | 0.53 | -0.46 | |
4/28 | A | Laney | 5- | 19 | -14 | -10 | – | 0.53 | -3.97 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/07 | A | New Bern Club | 14- | 2 | -2.00 |
3/07 | N | Wayne Club | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
3/16 | A | Cape Fear Academy | 2- | 12 | -1.41 |
3/26 | H | Hoggard | 0- | 15 | -0.10 |
4/02 | H | Ashley | 9- | 21 | 2.00 |
4/14 | A | Hoggard | 1- | 22 | 4.84 |
4/17 | A | Ashley | 4- | 18 | 2.62 |
4/22 | H | Laney | 6- | 20 | 4.00 |
4/28 | A | Laney | 5- | 19 | 4.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 1.07 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 57. | | Natl CCR Rank | 2051 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 57.42 | | Natl Power Rank | 2051 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 49.14 | | Natl SOS Rank | 2078 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.28 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 692 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.31 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1622 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 4-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -5.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -18.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -18.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -13.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -6.3 |
|
