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2009
2008

Northern Guilford Nighthawks (9-3)

Region: NC W Cen

State: NC

Coach: Jay Forgione

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/10	at Southeast Guilford (1-12)	NC W Cen	52.1		W	19-	5		0.025
3/12	GRIMSLEY (3-8)	NC W Cen	57.5		W	11-	8		0.150
3/16	WESTERN GUILFORD (14-1)	NC W Cen	67.6	7	L	7-	17		-0.050
3/18	NORTHWEST GUILFORD (10-3)	NC W Cen	62.6		W	13-	12		0.325
3/20	at Southwest Guilford Clu (0-6)	NC W Cen	51.4		W	8-	7		0.000
3/30	WESTERN GUILFORD (14-1)	NC W Cen	67.6	7	L	2-	12		-0.050
4/01	PAGE (10-4)	NC W Cen	63.0		L	8-	11		-0.150
4/03	SOUTHWEST GUILFORD CLU (0-6)	NC W Cen	51.4		W	13-	3		0.000
4/07	GREENSBORO DAY SCHOOL (4-9)	NC W Cen	57.5		W	16-	9		0.150
4/09	RAGSDALE (6-8)	NC W Cen	57.5		W	11-	5		0.125
4/20	SOUTHEAST GUILFORD (1-12)	NC W Cen	52.1		W	18-	9		0.000
4/24	WEST FORSYTH, NC (1-8)	NC W Cen	53.3		W	18-	7		0.025
			56.3						0.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/10	A	Southeast Guilford	19-	5	14	9	++	0.53	4.73
3/12	H	Grimsley	11-	8	3	4		-0.53	-0.62
3/16	H	Western Guilford	7-	17	-10	-8	–	-0.53	-2.38
3/18	H	Northwest Guilford	13-	12	1	-3	++	-0.53	4.34
3/20	A	Southwest Guilford Clu	8-	7	1	10	–––	0.53	-8.76
3/30	H	Western Guilford	2-	12	-10	-8	–	-0.53	-2.38
4/01	H	Page	8-	11	-3	-4		-0.53	0.83
4/03	H	Southwest Guilford Clu	13-	3	10	11		-0.53	-0.81
4/07	H	Greensboro Day School	16-	9	7	4	+	-0.53	2.92
4/09	H	Ragsdale	11-	5	6	5		-0.53	1.33
4/20	H	Southeast Guilford	18-	9	9	10		-0.53	-1.32
4/24	H	West Forsyth, NC	18-	7	11	9	+	-0.53	2.12
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/10	A	Southeast Guilford	19-	5	-4.00
3/16	H	Western Guilford	7-	17	0.00
3/30	H	Western Guilford	2-	12	0.00
4/03	H	Southwest Guilford Clu	13-	3	0.81
4/24	H	West Forsyth, NC	18-	7	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.35

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	59.		Natl CCR Rank	1913
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	59.40		Natl Power Rank	1913
Natl SOS Rating	44.85		Natl SOS Rank	2212
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.55		Natl Quality Win Rank	441
W-L Pct Rating	0.75		W-L Pct Rank	380
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	8.7

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