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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Norwalk Bears (5-11)

Region: CT Div 2

State: CT

Coach: Al Morgenthaler

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/08	FAIRFIELD LUDLOWE (6-8)	CT Div 2	78.4		W	12-	11		0.375
4/11	at Danbury (5-11)	CT Div 2	76.8		L	5-	20		-0.050
4/14	at Brien McMahon (12-7)	CT Div 1	82.4	8	L	5-	15		0.000
4/17	GREENWICH HS (15-6)	CT Div 1	84.2	5	L	4-	20		0.000
4/23	WILTON (16-3)	CT Div 1	87.7	2	L	3-	23		0.000
4/25	at Trumbull (6-10)	CT Div 2	77.1		L	7-	15		-0.075
4/28	DARIEN (20-2)	CT Div 1	91.2	1	L	2-	23		0.000
4/30	SHELTON (0-16)	CT Div 2	64.7		W	17-	7		0.000
5/05	at St. Joseph, CT (4-12)	CT Div 2	74.4		L	17-	23	2ot	-0.175
5/08	at Staples (9-9)	CT Div 2	78.8		L	10-	23		-0.025
5/09	ST. JOSEPH, CT (4-12)	CT Div 2	74.4		W	14-	9		0.250
5/12	at Fairfield Warde (11-7)	CT Div 1	80.7		L	8-	21		0.000
5/15	at Weston, CT (4-12)	CT Div 2	70.7		W	15-	12		0.225
5/19	NEW CANAAN (18-5)	CT Div 1	86.8	3	L	5-	20		0.000
5/22	RIDGEFIELD (5-11)	CT Div 2	76.5		L	13-	19		-0.150
5/27	at Shelton (0-16)	CT Div 2	64.7		W	16-	4		0.050
			75.1						0.42

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/08	H	Fairfield Ludlowe	12-	11	1	-5	+++	-1.25	6.16
4/11	A	Danbury	5-	20	-15	-8	–––	1.25	-7.47
4/14	A	Brien McMahon	5-	15	-10	-13	+	1.25	3.29
4/17	H	Greenwich HS	4-	20	-16	-14	–	-1.25	-2.17
4/23	H	Wilton	3-	23	-20	-19		-1.25	-0.95
4/25	A	Trumbull	7-	15	-8	-7		1.25	-0.76
4/28	H	Darien	2-	23	-21	-22		-1.25	0.77
4/30	H	Shelton	17-	7	10	11		-1.25	-0.81
5/05	A	St. Joseph, CT	17-	23	-6	-3	–	1.25	-3.50
5/08	A	Staples	10-	23	-13	-9	–	1.25	-3.76
5/09	H	St. Joseph, CT	14-	9	5	0	++	-1.25	5.00
5/12	A	Fairfield Warde	8-	21	-13	-11	–	1.25	-2.22
5/15	A	Weston, CT	15-	12	3	1	+	1.25	2.02
5/19	H	New Canaan	5-	20	-15	-17	+	-1.25	2.37
5/22	H	Ridgefield	13-	19	-6	-4		-1.25	-1.66
5/27	A	Shelton	16-	4	12	8	+	1.25	3.69
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/11	A	Danbury	5-	20	5.00
4/14	A	Brien McMahon	5-	15	-3.29
4/17	H	Greenwich HS	4-	20	2.17
4/23	H	Wilton	3-	23	0.95
4/28	H	Darien	2-	23	-0.77
4/30	H	Shelton	17-	7	0.81
5/08	A	Staples	10-	23	3.00
5/12	A	Fairfield Warde	8-	21	2.22
5/19	H	New Canaan	5-	20	-2.37
5/27	A	Shelton	16-	4	-2.00
10-goal correction: 0.36

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	704
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.50		Natl Power Rank	704
Natl SOS Rating	70.41		Natl SOS Rank	596
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.42		Natl Quality Win Rank	551
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	1587
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-18.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0

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