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2009
2008

Otay Ranch Mustangs (10-6)

Region: CA Metro

State: CA

Coach: Manny Frutos

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/11	MISSION HILLS (6-12)	CA Avocado	60.1		W	9-	0		0.125
3/23	at Mar Vista (5-7)	CA Metro	57.0		W	8-	2		0.125
3/26	HILLTOP (5-9)	CA Metro	56.8		W	14-	7		0.100
3/27	at Francis Parker School (5-14)	CA Coastal	66.4		L	5-	12		-0.150
3/31	at Preuss School (5-2)	CA Indep	68.6		L	4-	14		-0.175
4/03	at Monte Vista, Spring V. (11-8)	CA Grosmnt	70.4		L	6-	17		-0.100
4/07	HELIX CHARTER (11-8)	CA Grosmnt	69.1		L	7-	11		-0.200
4/13	at Eastlake (4-6)	CA Metro	54.8		W	17-	6		0.075
4/20	MAR VISTA (5-7)	CA Metro	57.0		W	9-	2		0.075
4/23	at Hilltop (5-9)	CA Metro	56.8		W	8-	4		0.150
4/27	at Bonita Vista (10-8)	CA Metro	64.7		L	6-	7		-0.225
4/30	EASTLAKE (4-6)	CA Metro	54.8		W	13-	3		0.025
5/04	at Chula Vista (0-10)	CA Metro	46.3		W	15-	3		0.000
5/07	CHULA VISTA (0-10)	CA Metro	46.3		W	15-	3		0.000
5/18	at Bonita Vista (10-8)	CA Metro	64.7		W	8-	7		0.275
5/23	at La Costa Canyon (18-4)	CA Palomar	83.3	1	L	1-	13		0.000
			63.8						0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	H	Mission Hills	9-	0	9	5	++	-0.95	4.22
3/23	A	Mar Vista	8-	2	6	5		0.95	1.29
3/26	H	Hilltop	14-	7	7	6		-0.95	0.59
3/27	A	Francis Parker School	5-	12	-7	-4	–	0.95	-3.12
3/31	A	Preuss School	4-	14	-10	-3	–––	0.95	-7.05
4/03	A	Monte Vista, Spring V.	6-	17	-11	-6	––	0.95	-4.61
4/07	H	Helix Charter	7-	11	-4	-2		-0.95	-1.90
4/13	A	Eastlake	17-	6	11	7	+	0.95	3.59
4/20	H	Mar Vista	9-	2	7	7		-0.95	0.38
4/23	A	Hilltop	8-	4	4	4		0.95	-0.50
4/27	A	Bonita Vista	6-	7	-1	-1		0.95	-0.33
4/30	H	Eastlake	13-	3	10	9		-0.95	0.68
5/04	A	Chula Vista	15-	3	12	11		0.95	0.51
5/07	H	Chula Vista	15-	3	12	13		-0.95	-1.40
5/18	A	Bonita Vista	8-	7	1	-1		0.95	1.67
5/23	A	La Costa Canyon	1-	13	-12	-18	++	0.95	5.96
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	A	Preuss School	4-	14	0.00
4/03	A	Monte Vista, Spring V.	6-	17	1.00
4/13	A	Eastlake	17-	6	-1.00
4/30	H	Eastlake	13-	3	0.00
5/04	A	Chula Vista	15-	3	-0.51
5/07	H	Chula Vista	15-	3	1.40
5/23	A	La Costa Canyon	1-	13	-5.96
10-goal correction: -0.32

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	65.		Natl CCR Rank	1499
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	65.29		Natl Power Rank	1499
Natl SOS Rating	53.51		Natl SOS Rank	1837
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	923
W-L Pct Rating	0.62		W-L Pct Rank	712
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3

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