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Our Lady of Mercy, NYC Mustangs (12-6)

Region: NYState: NYCoach: Mary McNerney

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/26at Kellenberg (5-8)NY75.34W13-10 0.225  
3/27at Holy Trinity, NY (3-9)NY74.37W12-11 0.250  
3/30at St. Anthony's (15-4)NY A89.91L7-15 0.000  
4/01ST. MARY'S, NY (8-6)NY74.85W15- 8 0.150  
4/02LONG ISLAND LUTHERAN (3-7)NY Indep71.4W12- 9 0.050  
4/08ST. FRANCIS PREP, NY (1-5)NY A66.39W15- 5 0.025  
4/14HOLY TRINITY, NY (3-9)NY74.37W13-12 0.250  
4/16SACRED HEART ACAD, NY (10-3)NY C86.12L10-21 -0.050  
4/28at St. Dominic's, NY (5-8)NY69.48W10- 8 0.100  
4/30at Long Island Lutheran (3-7)NY Indep71.4W12- 6 0.100  
5/06ST. ANTHONY'S (15-4)NY A89.91L5-17 0.000  
5/08at Mary Louis Academy (0-6)NY62.710W15- 4 0.000  
5/09at St. John the Baptist (4-9)NY74.66L9-12 -0.250  
5/11KELLENBERG (5-8)NY75.34W12- 9 0.200  
5/12at Sacred Heart Acad, NY (10-3)NY C86.12L10-24 -0.025  
5/13ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST (4-9)NY74.66W17-14 0.250  
5/15ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST (4-9)NY74.66W14-13 0.250  
5/17at St. Anthony's (15-4)NY A89.91L3-17 0.000  
 78.5     1.53  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/26AKellenberg13-103   1       +0.38       2.17
3/27AHoly Trinity, NY12-111   0       0.38       1.27
3/30ASt. Anthony's7-15-8   -12       +0.38       3.61
4/01HSt. Mary's, NY15-87   4       +-0.38       3.47
4/02HLong Island Lutheran12-93   8       ––-1.01       -5.39
4/08HSt. Francis Prep, NY15-510   9       -0.38       1.50
4/14HHoly Trinity, NY13-121   0       -0.38       0.52
4/16HSacred Heart Acad, NY10-21-11   -8       -0.38       -2.51
4/28ASt. Dominic's, NY10-82   6       ––0.38       -4.27
4/30ALong Island Lutheran12-66   6       1.01       -0.38
5/06HSt. Anthony's5-17-12   -11       -0.38       -1.14
5/08AMary Louis Academy15-411   11       0.38       0.43
5/09ASt. John the Baptist9-12-3   0       0.38       -2.61
5/11HKellenberg12-93   2       -0.38       1.42
5/12ASacred Heart Acad, NY10-24-14   -9       ––0.38       -4.76
5/13HSt. John the Baptist17-143   0       +-0.38       2.64
5/15HSt. John the Baptist14-131   0       -0.38       0.64
5/17ASt. Anthony's3-17-14   -12       0.38       -2.39
         0.00-5.76

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/08HSt. Francis Prep, NY15-50.00
4/16HSacred Heart Acad, NY10-211.00
5/06HSt. Anthony's5-171.14
5/08AMary Louis Academy15-4-0.43
5/12ASacred Heart Acad, NY10-244.00
5/17ASt. Anthony's3-172.39
10-goal correction: 0.45

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 79.   Natl CCR Rank 427
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 78.78   Natl Power Rank 426
Natl SOS Rating 75.62   Natl SOS Rank 374
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.53   Natl Quality Win Rank 77
W-L Pct Rating 0.67   W-L Pct Rank 621
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 12-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) -0.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 3-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -5.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 10-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -1.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 10-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.3



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