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Penfield Patriots (16-3)

Conference: MCRegion: NY A Sec 5State: NYCoach: Wayne Smith

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/27at Penn Yan Academy (16-5)NY C Sec 583.97W12-10 0.275  
3/31vs. Pittsford # (12-6)NY A Sec 578.610W10- 9 0.175  
4/03at Fairport (16-5)NY A Sec 584.86W13- 6 0.275  
4/09SPENCERPORT (6-11)NY A Sec 564.7W18- 7 0.000  
4/13vs. Webster Schroeder # (9-8)NY A Sec 576.0W9- 7 0.150  
4/15BROCKPORT (7-10)NY B Sec 570.2W18- 6 0.050  
4/27at Churchville-Chili (1-15)NY B Sec 552.3W22- 8 0.000  
4/29vs. Webster Thomas # (12-6)NY B Sec 580.59W14-10 0.225  
5/04at Baldwinsville (19-2)NY A Sec 396.1L9-17 0.000  
5/05at Spencerport (6-11)NY A Sec 564.7W16- 4 0.025  
5/07WEBSTER SCHROEDER (9-8)NY A Sec 576.0W9- 8 0.100  
5/08WEBSTER THOMAS (12-6)NY B Sec 580.59W12-10ot0.175  
5/11at East Rochester (11-7)NY C Sec 586.35L15-162ot-0.175  
5/16CHURCHVILLE-CHILI (1-15)NY B Sec 552.3W22- 3 0.000  
5/18at Irondequoit (6-12)NY B Sec 574.1W14-13ot0.200  
5/19at Brockport (7-10)NY B Sec 570.2W11-10 0.125  
5/27GATES-CHILI (4-14)NY A Sec 559.4W20- 8 0.000  
5/30vs. Pittsford # (12-6)NY A Sec 578.610W8- 7 0.175  
6/03vs. Fairport # (16-5)NY A Sec 584.86L13-14ot-0.250  
# Neutral site 84.9     1.52  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27APenn Yan Academy12-102   -1       +1.32       2.89
3/31NPittsford10-91   3       –0.00       -2.02
4/03AFairport13-67   -1       +++1.32       8.29
4/09HSpencerport18-711   12       -1.32       -0.72
4/13NWebster Schroeder9-72   4       –0.00       -2.32
4/15HBrockport18-612   8       ++-1.32       4.04
4/27AChurchville-Chili22-814   16       1.32       -1.87
4/29NWebster Thomas14-104   1       +0.00       2.61
5/04ABaldwinsville9-17-8   -10       +1.03       2.07
5/05ASpencerport16-412   9       +1.32       2.91
5/07HWebster Schroeder9-81   6       ––-1.32       -4.64
5/08HWebster Thomas12-102   3       -1.32       -0.71
5/11AEast Rochester15-16-1   -3       1.32       1.90
5/16HChurchville-Chili22-319   18       -1.32       0.50
5/18AIrondequoit14-131   2       1.32       -0.81
5/19ABrockport11-101   5       ––1.32       -4.32
5/27HGates-Chili20-812   15       –-1.32       -2.69
5/30NPittsford8-71   3       –0.00       -2.02
6/03NFairport13-14-1   0       0.00       -1.02
         0.002.07

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/09HSpencerport18-70.72
4/15HBrockport18-6-2.00
4/27AChurchville-Chili22-81.87
5/05ASpencerport16-4-2.00
5/16HChurchville-Chili22-3-0.50
5/27HGates-Chili20-82.69
10-goal correction: 0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 183.   Natl CCR Rank 53
Natl Poll Vote 96.   Natl Poll Rank 42
Natl Power Rating 87.08   Natl Power Rank 100
Natl SOS Rating 87.33   Natl SOS Rank 79
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.52   Natl Quality Win Rank 70
W-L Pct Rating 0.84   W-L Pct Rank 159
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 6-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.9
Wins/Losses (top 20) 13-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 3.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.0



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