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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Reservoir 'Gators (9-5)

Region: MD 3A-2A

State: MD

Coach: Trish Derwart

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/20	LONG REACH (2-10)	MD 3A-2A	65.3			-
3/24	WILDE LAKE (2-11)	MD 3A-2A	64.6		W	17-	5		0.000
3/27	at Howard (5-9)	MD 3A-2A	71.4		W	14-	10		0.125
3/31	ATHOLTON (5-7)	MD 3A-2A	73.3		W	14-	9		0.150
4/07	PATUXENT (11-5)	MD 3A-2A	75.5		W	10-	6		0.100
4/07	SHERWOOD, MD (8-5)	MD 4A-3A	73.8		W	13-	3		0.150
4/14	HAMMOND (4-8)	MD 3A-2A	69.9			-
4/16	GLENELG HS (12-5)	MD 2A-1A	87.3		L	11-	17		-0.125
4/17	at Marriotts Ridge (11-2)	MD 2A-1A	88.8		L	11-	19		-0.050
4/21	at Mt. Hebron (16-4)	MD 3A-2A	91.4	8	L	4-	22		0.000
4/24	CENTENNIAL, MD (9-7)	MD 3A-2A	81.5		W	18-	13		0.225
4/28	at Oakland Mills (0-9)	MD 2A-1A	59.2			-
4/29	at Thomas Johnson (5-7)	MD 4A-3A	69.6		W	23-	9		0.075
5/01	at River Hill (9-5)	MD 3A-2A	85.6		L	15-	19		-0.175
5/09	ATHOLTON (5-7)	MD 3A-2A	73.3		W	13-	12		0.150
5/11	WILDE LAKE (2-11)	MD 3A-2A	64.6		W	29-	16		0.000
5/13	at Mt. Hebron (16-4)	MD 3A-2A	91.4	8	L	4-	22		0.000
			78.0						0.62

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	Wilde Lake	17-	5	12	13		-0.90	-0.92
3/27	A	Howard	14-	10	4	5		0.90	-0.61
3/31	H	Atholton	14-	9	5	4		-0.90	1.42
4/07	H	Patuxent	10-	6	4	6		-0.90	-1.53
4/07	H	Sherwood, MD	13-	3	10	4	+++	-0.90	6.16
4/16	H	Glenelg HS	11-	17	-6	-5		-0.90	-1.38
4/17	A	Marriotts Ridge	11-	19	-8	-8		0.90	-0.18
4/21	A	Mt. Hebron	4-	22	-18	-13	––	0.90	-5.37
4/24	H	Centennial, MD	18-	13	5	1	++	-0.90	4.31
4/29	A	Thomas Johnson	23-	9	14	7	+++	0.90	6.71
5/01	A	River Hill	15-	19	-4	-3		0.90	-0.75
5/09	H	Atholton	13-	12	1	4	–	-0.90	-2.58
5/11	H	Wilde Lake	29-	16	13	13		-0.90	0.08
5/13	A	Mt. Hebron	4-	22	-18	-13	––	0.90	-5.37
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	H	Wilde Lake	17-	5	0.92
4/07	H	Sherwood, MD	13-	3	0.00
4/21	A	Mt. Hebron	4-	22	5.37
4/29	A	Thomas Johnson	23-	9	-4.00
5/11	H	Wilde Lake	29-	16	-0.08
5/13	A	Mt. Hebron	4-	22	5.37
10-goal correction: 0.54

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	228
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.17		Natl Power Rank	226
Natl SOS Rating	74.65		Natl SOS Rank	405
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.62		Natl Quality Win Rank	377
W-L Pct Rating	0.64		W-L Pct Rank	677
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-18.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3

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