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2009
2008

Sage Hill Lightning (4-10)

Region: CA Sunset

State: CA

Coach: Cherish Chin

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/07	vs. JSerra Catholic # (8-7)	CA Trinity	67.8		L	4-	11		-0.175
3/07	vs. La Canada # (10-10)	CA Indep	66.1		L	2-	8		-0.225
3/10	LAGUNA HILLS (13-8)	CA Pacific	68.4		L	7-	18		-0.175
3/11	at Woodbridge, CA (6-15)	CA SeaView	63.4		W	11-	10		0.175
3/17	NEWPORT HARBOR (12-6)	CA Sunset	71.8	7	L	9-	16		-0.100
3/19	at Esperanza (0-8)	CA Sunset	61.2		W	16-	8		0.150
3/24	EL DORADO (5-7)	CA Sunset	66.0		W	9-	6		0.275
3/26	at Los Alamitos (19-0)	CA Sunset	81.3	1	L	5-	17		0.000
3/31	at La Canada (10-10)	CA Indep	66.1		L	6-	9		-0.200
4/02	at Newport Harbor (12-6)	CA Sunset	71.8	7	L	12-	14		-0.050
4/21	ESPERANZA (0-8)	CA Sunset	61.2		W	16-	12		0.100
4/23	at El Dorado (5-7)	CA Sunset	66.0		L	10-	13		-0.175
4/28	LOS ALAMITOS (19-0)	CA Sunset	81.3	1	L	4-	20		0.000
5/01	at Corona Del Mar (12-6)	CA Pacific	70.0		L	9-	12		-0.100
# Neutral site			68.4						-0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/07	N	JSerra Catholic	4-	11	-7	-3	––	0.00	-4.17
3/07	N	La Canada	2-	8	-6	-1	––	0.00	-4.99
3/10	H	Laguna Hills	7-	18	-11	-3	–––	-1.14	-8.27
3/11	A	Woodbridge, CA	11-	10	1	3		1.14	-1.53
3/17	H	Newport Harbor	9-	16	-7	-6		-1.14	-0.91
3/19	A	Esperanza	16-	8	8	4	++	1.14	4.18
3/24	H	El Dorado	9-	6	3	-1	+	-1.14	3.78
3/26	A	Los Alamitos	5-	17	-12	-18	++	1.14	5.64
3/31	A	La Canada	6-	9	-3	-2		1.14	-0.85
4/02	A	Newport Harbor	12-	14	-2	-8	+++	1.14	6.36
4/21	H	Esperanza	16-	12	4	6	–	-1.14	-2.10
4/23	A	El Dorado	10-	13	-3	-3		1.14	0.06
4/28	H	Los Alamitos	4-	20	-16	-15		-1.14	-0.63
5/01	A	Corona Del Mar	9-	12	-3	-6	+	1.14	3.42
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/10	H	Laguna Hills	7-	18	1.00
3/26	A	Los Alamitos	5-	17	-5.64
4/28	H	Los Alamitos	4-	20	0.63
10-goal correction: -0.29

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	65.		Natl CCR Rank	1542
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	64.81		Natl Power Rank	1542
Natl SOS Rating	59.42		Natl SOS Rank	1367
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	2040
W-L Pct Rating	0.29		W-L Pct Rank	1651
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.3

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