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Scripps Ranch Falcons (15-7 - 1)

Region: CA CityState: CACoach: Nick Holslag

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/11at Rancho Bernardo (16-6)CA Palomar78.54L10-11 -0.175  
3/13POWAY (12-12)CA Palomar75.77W12- 9 0.225  
3/17PATRICK HENRY, CA (12-10)CA City72.7W13-11 0.125  
3/19at Granite Hills (3-18)CA Grosmnt60.0W17- 2 0.000  
3/21vs. Germantown Academy # (16-11)PA IAC83.5L9-14 -0.075  
3/21vs. Poway # (12-12)CA Palomar75.77T9- 9 0.000  
3/21vs. St. Margaret's, CA # (12-9)CA Trinity71.6W11- 9 0.125  
3/24at Cathedral Catholic (15-7)CA City75.86L13-15ot-0.250  
3/27at Serra (2-17)CA City60.9W16- 2 0.000  
3/31at La Jolla HS (7-14)CA City72.9L6- 8 -0.275  
4/03SANTANA (15-5)CA Grosmnt73.810W11- 8 0.125  
4/15FRANCIS PARKER SCHOOL (5-14)CA Coastal66.4W17- 5 0.025  
4/17WESTVIEW, CA (7-14)CA Palomar72.0W9- 8 0.175  
4/21FALLBROOK (2-11)CA Avocado52.4W21- 0 0.000  
4/24at Patrick Henry, CA (12-10)CA City72.7W14- 6 0.175  
4/28at Coronado (22-4)CA City81.12L6-16 -0.175  
5/01LA JOLLA HS (7-14)CA City72.9W13- 7 0.175  
5/05SERRA (2-17)CA City60.9W17- 2 0.000  
5/08CATHEDRAL CATHOLIC (15-7)CA City75.86W11-10 0.200  
5/15at Mt. Carmel, CA (13-5)CA Avocado72.5W13- 8 0.125  
5/18at Coronado (22-4)CA City81.12L6-14 -0.175  
5/22at Santa Fe Christian (13-9)CA Coastal73.7W11- 8 0.175  
5/26at Torrey Pines (17-7)CA Palomar80.73L9-13 -0.125  
# Neutral site 73.7     0.40  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/11ARancho Bernardo10-11-1   -3       0.95       1.72
3/13HPoway12-93   1       +-0.95       2.44
3/17HPatrick Henry, CA13-112   5       -0.95       -2.65
3/19AGranite Hills17-215   13       +0.95       2.41
3/21NGermantown Academy9-14-5   -7       +0.00       2.24
3/21NPoway9-90   0       0.00       0.39
3/21NSt. Margaret's, CA11-92   5       0.00       -2.72
3/24ACathedral Catholic13-15-2   0       0.95       -2.35
3/27ASerra16-214   11       +0.95       2.73
3/31ALa Jolla HS6-8-2   1       0.95       -2.63
4/03HSantana11-83   5       -0.95       -2.21
4/15HFrancis Parker School17-512   9       +-0.95       2.76
4/17HWestview, CA9-81   3       -0.95       -2.42
4/21HFallbrook21-021   20       -0.95       0.62
4/24APatrick Henry, CA14-68   3       ++0.95       5.26
4/28ACoronado6-16-10   -3       –––0.95       -6.62
5/01HLa Jolla HS13-76   3       +-0.95       3.46
5/05HSerra17-215   13       -0.95       1.82
5/08HCathedral Catholic11-101   2       -0.95       -1.26
5/15AMt. Carmel, CA13-85   5       0.95       0.42
5/18ACoronado6-14-8   -3       ––0.95       -4.62
5/22ASanta Fe Christian11-83   3       0.95       -0.12
5/26ATorrey Pines9-13-4   -5       0.95       0.86
         0.00-0.47

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/19AGranite Hills17-2-2.41
3/27ASerra16-2-2.73
4/15HFrancis Parker School17-5-2.00
4/21HFallbrook21-0-0.62
4/28ACoronado6-160.00
5/05HSerra17-2-1.82
10-goal correction: -0.42

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 76.   Natl CCR Rank 581
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 76.27   Natl Power Rank 581
Natl SOS Rating 67.51   Natl SOS Rank 777
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.40   Natl Quality Win Rank 570
W-L Pct Rating 0.67   W-L Pct Rank 586
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -5.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 9-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.0



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