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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Sonoma Academy Coyotes (11-5)

Region: CA MCAL

State: CA

Coach: Kelsey Sullivan

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/25	at Sir Francis Drake (0-8)	CA MCAL	55.4		W	12-	2		0.000
3/12	at Granite Bay (1-11)	CA SJS	62.8		W	13-	5		0.125
3/16	at Ursuline, CA (2-8)	CA Indep	60.4		W	17-	5		0.000
3/18	CHRISTIAN BROTHERS, CA (0-7)	CA SJS	65.1		W	14-	8		0.175
3/21	GRANITE BAY (1-11)	CA SJS	62.8		W	16-	10		0.100
3/24	at Ursuline, CA (2-8)	CA Indep	60.4		W	17-	7		0.000
3/26	BELLA VISTA (5-7)	CA SJS	67.8		L	5-	9		-0.275
3/31	MARIN CATHOLIC (11-8)	CA MCAL	71.0		L	9-	10		-0.150
4/03	at San Marin (3-7)	CA MCAL	61.5		W	10-	3		0.075
4/14	at Bella Vista (5-7)	CA SJS	67.8		W	10-	6		0.275
4/21	at University HS, SF (4-12)	CA MCAL	66.5		L	9-	15		-0.225
4/24	REDWOOD (12-6)	CA MCAL	74.8	10	L	5-	21		0.000
4/27	at Novato (2-7)	CA MCAL	61.6		W	14-	0		0.000
4/29	at Tamalpais (9-6)	CA MCAL	67.9		W	17-	16		0.250
5/01	SIR FRANCIS DRAKE (0-8)	CA MCAL	55.4		W	16-	1		0.000
5/05	at Marin Catholic (11-8)	CA MCAL	71.0		L	7-	14		-0.125
			59.6						0.22

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/25	A	Sir Francis Drake	12-	2	10	14	––	0.53	-4.46
3/12	A	Granite Bay	13-	5	8	5	+	0.53	2.96
3/16	A	Ursuline, CA	17-	5	12	10	+	0.53	2.16
3/18	H	Christian Brothers, CA	14-	8	6	3	+	-0.53	2.71
3/21	H	Granite Bay	16-	10	6	6		-0.53	-0.11
3/24	A	Ursuline, CA	17-	7	10	10		0.53	0.16
3/26	H	Bella Vista	5-	9	-4	1	––	-0.53	-4.53
3/31	H	Marin Catholic	9-	10	-1	-4	+	-0.53	3.06
4/03	A	San Marin	10-	3	7	7		0.53	0.46
4/14	A	Bella Vista	10-	6	4	-1	++	0.53	4.53
4/21	A	University HS, SF	9-	15	-6	-1	––	0.53	-5.48
4/24	H	Redwood	5-	21	-16	-12	––	-0.53	-4.38
4/27	A	Novato	14-	0	14	10	++	0.53	4.28
4/29	A	Tamalpais	17-	16	1	0		0.53	1.02
5/01	H	Sir Francis Drake	16-	1	15	16		-0.53	-0.53
5/05	A	Marin Catholic	7-	14	-7	-5		0.53	-1.87
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/25	A	Sir Francis Drake	12-	2	4.46
3/16	A	Ursuline, CA	17-	5	-2.16
3/24	A	Ursuline, CA	17-	7	-0.16
4/24	H	Redwood	5-	21	4.38
4/27	A	Novato	14-	0	-4.28
5/01	H	Sir Francis Drake	16-	1	0.53
10-goal correction: 0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1203
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.25		Natl Power Rank	1203
Natl SOS Rating	48.34		Natl SOS Rank	2107
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.22		Natl Quality Win Rank	747
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	548
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.0

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