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2009
2008
2007

St. Mary's, NC Saints (4-7)

Region: NC E Cen

State: NC

Coach: Kathy Burke

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/09	EAST CHAPEL HILL (10-4)	NC E Cen	68.1	6	L	4-	21		0.000
3/11	at Cardinal Gibbons, NC (5-10)	NC E Cen	58.5		W	12-	7		0.300
3/24	at Ravenscroft (2-5)	NC Indep	57.7		W	18-	8		0.175
3/25	CHAPEL HILL (11-4)	NC E Cen	67.4	8	L	5-	17		0.000
3/27	CARRBORO (6-8)	NC E Cen	59.4		L	14-	15	2ot	-0.250
3/31	DURHAM ACADEMY (13-3)	NC E Cen	66.7	9	L	8-	19		-0.050
4/15	MIDDLE CREEK (2-10)	NC East	57.4		W	16-	8		0.125
4/20	CARDINAL GIBBONS, NC (5-10)	NC E Cen	58.5		L	10-	13		-0.225
4/21	at Durham Academy (13-3)	NC E Cen	66.7	9	L	6-	16		-0.025
4/23	RIVERSIDE, NC (0-14)	NC E Cen	52.7		W	16-	4		0.000
5/01	CHARLOTTE CDS (11-3)	NC West	66.3	10	L	7-	21		-0.025
5/06	RAVENSCROFT (2-5)	NC Indep	57.7			-
			62.2						0.03

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/09	H	East Chapel Hill	4-	21	-17	-11	––	-0.53	-5.76
3/11	A	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	12-	7	5	-2	+++	0.53	6.91
3/24	A	Ravenscroft	18-	8	10	3	+++	0.53	7.00
3/25	H	Chapel Hill	5-	17	-12	-10	–	-0.53	-2.02
3/27	H	Carrboro	14-	15	-1	0		-0.53	-0.54
3/31	H	Durham Academy	8-	19	-11	-8	–	-0.53	-3.05
4/15	H	Middle Creek	16-	8	8	5	+	-0.53	2.95
4/20	H	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	10-	13	-3	-1	–	-0.53	-2.14
4/21	A	Durham Academy	6-	16	-10	-9		0.53	-1.00
4/23	H	Riverside, NC	16-	4	12	10	+	-0.53	2.47
5/01	H	Charlotte CDS	7-	21	-14	-9	––	-0.53	-4.82
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/09	H	East Chapel Hill	4-	21	5.76
3/24	A	Ravenscroft	18-	8	0.00
3/25	H	Chapel Hill	5-	17	2.00
3/31	H	Durham Academy	8-	19	1.00
4/21	A	Durham Academy	6-	16	0.00
4/23	H	Riverside, NC	16-	4	-2.47
5/01	H	Charlotte CDS	7-	21	4.00
10-goal correction: 0.94

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	59.		Natl CCR Rank	1969
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	58.55		Natl Power Rank	1969
Natl SOS Rating	51.34		Natl SOS Rank	1965
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.03		Natl Quality Win Rank	1044
W-L Pct Rating	0.36		W-L Pct Rank	1469
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.0

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